Middle East · resolved market
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3632fbdb441c3488ec37871f4858f0fa1c770871ee451b847eb5afc05b63f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 4,647$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…9728backed Yes | 1c | 4,524$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,919$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed Yes | 16c | 1,768$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,748$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…3401backed Yes | 1c | 1,632$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 16c | 1,492$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked Yes | 21c | 1,485$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 17c | 1,459$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed Yes | 22c | 1,459$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…2d87backed Yes | 20c | 1,448$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 74c | 1,437$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.43 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,261$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…8e37backed Yes | 4c | 1,237$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,153$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x826b…77b5backed Yes | 1c | 1,137$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…0960backed Yes | 1c | 1,093$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…834bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,039$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…7e75backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 76c | 969$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 960.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 16c | 959$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 77c | 918$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed No | 79c | 911$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed Yes | 24c | 889$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed No | 76c | 876$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 20c | 862$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 11c | 856$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…7889backed Yes | 4c | 837.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcd…bc96backed Yes | 1c | 837.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 12c | 807.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 73c | 804$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 73c | 796.93$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 16c | 790$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 787.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 72 | 1.4%1 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed No | 79c | 763$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 11c | 761$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 754.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 76c | 749.18$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.31 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed No | 76c | 726$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked No | 80c | 711$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 74c | 699.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 80c | 687$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed No | 76c | 666$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed Yes | 23c | 659$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 25c | 651$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…5b8fbacked Yes | 28c | 650$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 649.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 3c | 620$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +13.0wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 11c | 612$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 74c | 609.9$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfed4…c735backed Yes | 3c | 597.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 588.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 19c | 572.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed No | 76c | 569$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked Yes | 25c | 568$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 11c | 555$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 27c | 554$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 25c | 547$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 18c | 540$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 16c | 529$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked No | 77c | 514$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked Yes | 24c | 505$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…1f63backed Yes | 24c | 503$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +129%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 21c | 500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…4ae5backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked No | 77c | 489$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed No | 78c | 486$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 476.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes | 21c | 468$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed No | 79c | 468$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 18c | 453$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 23c | 441.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked No | 80c | 437$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked Yes | 21c | 431$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 20c | 427$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 16c | 420$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked No | 80c | 419$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked No | 79c | 415$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…975ebacked No | 79c | 407$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ea…1a3ebacked Yes | 6c | 404.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 80c | 399$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed Yes | 20c | 399$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed No | 75c | 395$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed Yes | 19c | 392$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 26c | 391.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f02…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 375.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked No | 75c | 349$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…94b7backed Yes | 29c | 348.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed No | 76c | 334$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked Yes | 24c | 334$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 80c | 332$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 16c | 328$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed Yes | 20c | 325$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…990dbacked No | 80c | 325$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.