Music · resolved market
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b7fa5e73b58e3e8db12f33b0888ce58c24d6249cc237581ebe11ac4867dd7b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x855a…6f7bbacked Yes | 19c | 5,359$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 17c | 4,567$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.13 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,376$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.97 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 10c | 2,350$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 17c | 1,574$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.64 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 19c | 1,327$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed Yes | 19c | 1,158$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…e9dbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,107$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 16c | 1,105$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 77c | 1,020$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 73c | 981$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 77c | 949$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 19c | 944$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 20c | 935.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.15 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed Yes | 14c | 895.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 72c | 864$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed Yes | 19c | 822$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 23c | 821$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 819.17$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 23c | 776$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 19c | 773$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed Yes | 19c | 769$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed Yes | 19c | 718$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…5c3cbacked Yes | 69c | 714.58$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…d20ebacked Yes | 19c | 687$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 18c | 672$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 19c | 662$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 28c | 641$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked No | 77c | 604$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 79c | 600.42$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…1217backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes | 19c | 598$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 19c | 589.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 28c | 575$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…b9b4backed No | 72c | 553$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…2bbbbacked Yes | 22c | 548.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…5122backed Yes | 17c | 539$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 26c | 518.3$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 19c | 508$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 21c | 499.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 19c | 488$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8e46backed No | 73c | 481$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 23c | 447$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c5…9977backed Yes | 26c | 429.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 28c | 429$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed Yes | 23c | 429$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…415ebacked Yes | 22c | 425$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed No | 77c | 424$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…3700backed Yes | 23c | 423.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…904bbacked Yes | 25c | 423$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked No | 73c | 419$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 16c | 416$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 23c | 415$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 24c | 404$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 77c | 390$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 16c | 385$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 14c | 366$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Yes | 19c | 362$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed Yes | 23c | 358$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed Yes | 23c | 342$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked Yes | 19c | 341$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 19c | 340$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed No | 72c | 338$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 12c | 336.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 34c | 330.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…ce56backed Yes | 19c | 329$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes | 12c | 326.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 19c | 317$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed No | 78c | 316$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 25c | 313$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…135abacked Yes | 13c | 304.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…8f64backed Yes | 66c | 302.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed No | 77c | 293$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 19c | 288$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…694dbacked Yes | 25c | 284.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 76c | 273$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 19c | 271$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 265.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Yes | 17c | 265.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 19c | 262.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +92%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…4b4bbacked Yes | 27c | 262.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0af…7ec6backed No | 79c | 262$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 19c | 261.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked No | 77c | 261$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 23c | 261$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Yes | 42c | 250$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 79c | 244$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed Yes | 21c | 237$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 23c | 233$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 16c | 228.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 27c | 226$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 11c | 225.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 22c | 218$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed Yes | 19c | 212$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 26c | 210$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 14c | 209.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…e7cabacked Yes | 19c | 209$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 19c | 206$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 31c | 204$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Alex Warren win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Lola Young win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will MK.gee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will The Marías win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will beabadoobee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.