TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,775 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5581…cb44backed Yes6c6,781$384 inLost-$38430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c3,039$22 inLost-$22.281478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes3c2,632$74 inLost-$73.73504%2 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03b…6149backed Yes3c2,313$80 inLost-$80520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes1c2,172$30 inLost-$30.03130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc34…0beebacked Yes5c1,764$84 inLost-$84.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…4b7cbacked Yes6c1,682$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc1…f176backed Yes6c1,277$79 inLost-$7930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,155$40 inLost-$40.374629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd1…fec7backed Yes1c1,090$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes2c893.64$14 inLost-$14.136139.3%24 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d1c…00d4backed Yes2c885.82$18 inLost-$17.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Yes2c765.3$17 inLost-$16.84100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86bc…aab8backed Yes4c555.56$25 inLost-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ea…c2adbacked Yes2c507.31$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c4…a309backed Yes3c499.92$13 inLost-$12.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x129e…55c6backed Yes3c470.14$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a9…09b5backed Yes5c463.28$25 inLost-$25911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+318.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2f…b3e9backed Yes7c386.84$26 inLost-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0916…8fdbbacked Yes6c318.91$20 inLost-$202010%2 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+108.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11d…9896backed Yes5c303.78$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b7…2ae4backed Yes4c300$11 inLost-$10.820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1253…657cbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b4…5cb1backed Yes5c189.07$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3756…c855backed Yes8c177.38$14 inLost-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe268…40a7backed Yes14c133.1$19 inLost-$18.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.