IPO · resolved market
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76f4c271e46ef0e32b8e6b0dc9d41410f95b846318b19fcb5295234e94811d09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23e…1461backed Yes | 79c | 2,509$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.44 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 68c | 1,196$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…e25ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,032$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed No | 32c | 841$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed No | 50c | 827$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 50c | 811$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 32c | 778$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed Yes | 50c | 766$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Yes | 68c | 759$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed No | 33c | 717$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 76c | 702$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 52c | 645$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 50c | 571$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 48c | 568$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 50c | 549$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +192.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 32c | 529$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked No | 53c | 528$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7e…7dfdbacked Yes | 68c | 525$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked Yes | 48c | 511$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be4…009abacked Yes | 73c | 500$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 2c | 495.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…f815backed Yes | 24c | 489$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +189%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed No | 52c | 470$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed No | 58c | 464$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed Yes | 42c | 464$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 32c | 464$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 32c | 461$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 68c | 461$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 32c | 412$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 51c | 388$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 67c | 375$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 32c | 357$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 52c | 354$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +251.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 48c | 354$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 50c | 348$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed Yes | 67c | 342$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +167%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 43c | 333.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 32c | 322$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 68c | 316$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed No | 32c | 295$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 47c | 294$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked Yes | 68c | 267$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked No | 32c | 267$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +224.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 50c | 263$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 50c | 253$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 24c | 230$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 68c | 205$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked No | 53c | 203$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed Yes | 51c | 201$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 68c | 197$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 8c | 193.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 32c | 181$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 32c | 169$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 25c | 161.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed No | 52c | 153$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 48c | 112$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…f70dbacked Yes | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…5ea0backed No | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…1619backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…d6eebacked Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 67c | 32.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Yes | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…57eebacked Yes | 50c | 23.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked No | 76c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?this page
- Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.25B and $4.50B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.50B and $4.75B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.75B and $5.00B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $5.00B and $5.25B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $5.25B and $5.50B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be less than $4.25B at market close on IPO day?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.