Middle East · resolved market
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aab152fc4bc00948af5b09be024d4791c9becc1c74f925337c32f6405d52390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5a5…b920backed Yes | 32c | 48,984$15,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,723.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…5e3ebacked No | 68c | 26,300$17,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,442.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…b5d5backed No | 68c | 22,548$15,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,237.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…60b6backed Yes | 40c | 8,324$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.02 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 68c | 5,016$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.32 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 40c | 3,983$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.73 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0638…74a1backed Yes | 36c | 3,651$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,954$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 55c | 2,559$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.7 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 58c | 2,319$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.1 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 16c | 2,244$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.64 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…a8c0backed Yes | 45c | 2,189$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 75c | 1,838$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.65 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 1,788$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.77 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…e306backed Yes | 36c | 1,689$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…9b65backed Yes | 22c | 1,644$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 24c | 1,590$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.14 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…1b6bbacked No | 78c | 1,580$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…7003backed No | 57c | 1,554$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 60c | 1,528$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.07 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed No | 75c | 1,473$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed Yes | 22c | 1,444$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed Yes | 20c | 1,384$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 42c | 1,377$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.31 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,274$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 19c | 1,272$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.08 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 58c | 1,229$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.84 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 66c | 1,118$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.12 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 66c | 1,078$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.29 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Yes | 22c | 1,077$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,074$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 3c | 1,005$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 65c | 999.99$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked No | 78c | 982$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 34c | 964$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 14c | 950$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 934$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.09 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 19c | 913$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 18c | 904$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 33c | 895.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.21 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 55c | 888.76$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.66 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 76c | 855$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.42 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes | 34c | 853$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed No | 78c | 848$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 25c | 846$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 33c | 842$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 56c | 836.14$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Yes | 18c | 734$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 22c | 731$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3ff4backed No | 65c | 728.28$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 80c | 722$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 13c | 716.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 23c | 711.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.65 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed No | 79c | 709$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 22c | 690$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…75b7backed Yes | 19c | 673$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83b…c8a2backed No | 67c | 669.13$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Yes | 22c | 668$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…d526backed No | 76c | 659.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed No | 78c | 648$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 20c | 640$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed No | 78c | 636.11$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed Yes | 23c | 636$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 27c | 604.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked No | 78c | 596$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 22c | 594$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed No | 80c | 590$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +374.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 19c | 583$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 16c | 583$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 27c | 581.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 21c | 574$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 573.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…9357backed No | 66c | 573$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…6e6dbacked No | 66c | 572.4$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 66c | 566$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…d78bbacked Yes | 20c | 560$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…fb46backed Yes | 20c | 558$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed No | 74c | 558$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 71c | 551.71$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…944cbacked Yes | 14c | 543.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 42c | 539$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.1 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…bdbbbacked No | 43c | 536.93$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.93 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed Yes | 22c | 536$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked No | 66c | 535.64$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed Yes | 22c | 531$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed No | 78c | 528$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed Yes | 33c | 527$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 19c | 524$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed No | 78c | 522$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…34bcbacked Yes | 44c | 519.53$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 18c | 512.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…5593backed Yes | 49c | 497.26$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked No | 75c | 496$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 75c | 495.57$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked No | 78c | 495$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…9949backed Yes | 20c | 493.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 34c | 490$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…6baabacked Yes | 26c | 489$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…3929backed No | 78c | 486$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?this page
- US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.