Middle East · resolved market
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x571db51db13c8e4a409bd85386effa28ca60061105e841913b44822fab30d675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 61c | 3,964$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.37 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 13c | 2,671$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.61 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 19c | 1,915$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.72 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 9c | 1,764$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…8aaabacked Yes | 13c | 1,727$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 75 | 17.3%13 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,302$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…fe63backed Yes | 12c | 1,110$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 4c | 1,110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…c22abacked Yes | 11c | 1,102$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 12c | 1,062$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed Yes | 12c | 1,034$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,011$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…644ebacked Yes | 14c | 986$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 12c | 951.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes | 12c | 949$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…9e65backed Yes | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 6c | 879$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 794.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 11c | 792$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Yes | 11c | 788$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 11c | 757.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed Yes | 11c | 713$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 9c | 698.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 644.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed Yes | 15c | 637$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…7359backed Yes | 16c | 567$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…4308backed Yes | 5c | 562.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 29c | 557.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.69 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 10c | 539.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked Yes | 11c | 538$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Yes | 16c | 503$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 14c | 498$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 11c | 480.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked Yes | 14c | 474$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 13c | 469$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…d6debacked Yes | 14c | 430$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 12c | 424$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Yes | 15c | 418$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 14c | 413$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 5c | 380$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 118 | 16.1%19 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 373.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 361.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 16c | 361$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…8234backed Yes | 16c | 353$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 11c | 334$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 58c | 331.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 72c | 330.72$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 11c | 327$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed Yes | 16c | 315$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 12c | 311$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 19c | 303.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 301.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Yes | 15c | 301$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 15c | 261.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…74fdbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 12c | 212$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…e9dabacked Yes | 13c | 200.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 12c | 191.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…0f21backed Yes | 24c | 185.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…6bb8backed Yes | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 9c | 158.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…d366backed Yes | 13c | 156.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed No | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…236abacked No | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 14c | 144$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 30c | 133.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 72c | 115.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 13c | 113.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Yes | 27c | 109.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 39c | 105.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d53…3fdfbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +408.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7833…d56cbacked Yes | 15c | 74.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed No | 74c | 73.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…a510backed No | 76c | 66.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…6afabacked No | 71c | 62.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d20bbacked Yes | 28c | 61.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 59.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 62c | 57.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 76c | 53.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 71c | 48.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 161 | 73.9%119 W · 42 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…c593backed No | 34c | 37.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 71c | 30.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 65c | 22.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 84 | 82.1%69 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…f99cbacked No | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?this page
- US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.