TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36db…74fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$59.49
Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Murcia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Morelos: Jake Delaney vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Cap Cana: Hubert Hurkacz vs Mattia Belluccibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Phoenix: Ethan Quinn vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Cherbourg: Matteo Martineau vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Santiago: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Kigali 2: Florent Bax vs Maximilian Neuchristbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kigali 2: Gabriele Pennaforti vs Sean Cueninbacked Sean Cuenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Kigali 2: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kigali 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Corentin Denollybacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kigali 2: Max Houkes vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
BNP Paribas Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Thionville: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Hersonissos: Robin Bertrand vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Thionville: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Kigali: Nicholas Ionel vs Michiel de Krombacked Nicholas Ionel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick17cpaid+120.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.