Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Max Houkes vs Luka Pavlovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51900129841a991bb5619c46528141b57aa69cf068d505ee598ba86decc1c5d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Houkesof Max Houkes, Luka Pavlovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Max Houkes | 51c | 1,561$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.44 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Houkes | 62c | 1,188$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.73 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Luka Pavlovic | 45c | 1,113$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Max Houkes | 35c | 907.85$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.97 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Max Houkes | 32c | 841.88$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.62 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Luka Pavlovic | 68c | 700$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.88 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 681.89$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 672.84$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Max Houkes | 24c | 668.52$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.52 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Luka Pavlovic | 48c | 627.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Max Houkes | 36c | 525.36$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.74 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Luka Pavlovic | 44c | 521.01$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Max Houkes | 49c | 514.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.46 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Max Houkes | 35c | 490.22$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.82 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Luka Pavlovic | 67c | 434.96$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 428.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Max Houkes | 76c | 410.78$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Luka Pavlovic | 29c | 367.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luka Pavlovic | 32c | 363.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 351.61$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Max Houkes | 37c | 328.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.04 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 317.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Max Houkes | 32c | 302.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 294$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 285.88$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Max Houkes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Max Houkes | 35c | 283.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.16 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Max Houkes | 22c | 227.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.26 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Max Houkes | 71c | 221.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Max Houkes | 50c | 215.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Max Houkes | 43c | 203.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Max Houkes | 61c | 195.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Luka Pavlovic | 73c | 194.36$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Luka Pavlovic | 68c | 177.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 164.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6a…8ec7backed Luka Pavlovic | 66c | 160.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Max Houkes | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Max Houkes | 37c | 136.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Luka Pavlovic | 41c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Max Houkes | 36c | 118$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Max Houkes | 39c | 112.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Max Houkes | 39c | 106.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Luka Pavlovic | 37c | 95.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Max Houkes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Max Houkes | 37c | 79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac72…07c1backed Max Houkes | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Max Houkes | 35c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 68.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed Luka Pavlovic | 68c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Luka Pavlovic | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Max Houkes | 36c | 60.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Max Houkes | 36c | 58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Max Houkes | 30c | 53.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Max Houkes | 33c | 53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 866 | 47.9%415 W · 451 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Max Houkes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Max Houkes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Max Houkes | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Max Houkes | 46c | 37.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Max Houkes | 39c | 34.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Max Houkes | 47c | 33.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 31.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Luka Pavlovic | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Luka Pavlovic | 52c | 28.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 68c | 23.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613f…6463backed Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 22.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…7758backed Luka Pavlovic | 74c | 22.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 22.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Max Houkes | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…644abacked Luka Pavlovic | 74c | 20.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 161 | 75.2%121 W · 40 L | +20.4wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e08ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 18.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…8c97backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…6589backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…74fdbacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…2aacbacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali 2: Max Houkes vs Luka Pavlovicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Houkes vs PavlovicPavlovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.