Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Nicholas Ionel vs Michiel de Krom
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b474737cf762dc82403741926e3d50060eda3595baa39f712c622f2bcb2464e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michiel de Kromof Nicholas Ionel, Michiel de Krom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Nicholas Ionel | 63c | 6,919$4,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.89 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Nicholas Ionel | 66c | 5,598$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.52 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michiel de Krom | 35c | 2,365$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.27 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nicholas Ionel | 54c | 2,309$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.46 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Michiel de Krom | 38c | 2,278$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.51 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nicholas Ionel | 54c | 2,167$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.09 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Michiel de Krom | 42c | 1,261$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.68 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michiel de Krom | 39c | 926.16$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Michiel de Krom | 49c | 870.66$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.66 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Michiel de Krom | 48c | 667.27$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.93 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Nicholas Ionel | 66c | 627.11$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.84 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Michiel de Krom | 22c | 590.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.91 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Michiel de Krom | 40c | 501.53$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.92 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Nicholas Ionel | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Nicholas Ionel | 61c | 492.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nicholas Ionel | 58c | 446.95$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.24 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Michiel de Krom | 37c | 347.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Michiel de Krom | 47c | 321.62$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.72 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nicholas Ionel | 54c | 304.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nicholas Ionel | 28c | 271$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…a71cbacked Nicholas Ionel | 48c | 247.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Nicholas Ionel | 28c | 247$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Nicholas Ionel | 43c | 227$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Michiel de Krom | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Michiel de Krom | 32c | 204.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Michiel de Krom | 49c | 202.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…5597backed Nicholas Ionel | 65c | 192$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nicholas Ionel | 32c | 185$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Nicholas Ionel | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nicholas Ionel | 58c | 142.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Michiel de Krom | 19c | 130.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Michiel de Krom | 41c | 114.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michiel de Krom | 37c | 104$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nicholas Ionel | 66c | 103.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Nicholas Ionel | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicholas Ionel | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Michiel de Krom | 42c | 97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Michiel de Krom | 48c | 94.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Michiel de Krom | 38c | 90.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicholas Ionel | 63c | 82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Nicholas Ionel | 69c | 77.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Nicholas Ionel | 57c | 70.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nicholas Ionel | 67c | 70.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…b68abacked Nicholas Ionel | 65c | 69.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Nicholas Ionel | 57c | 62.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nicholas Ionel | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nicholas Ionel | 49c | 54.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Michiel de Krom | 36c | 49.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…e920backed Nicholas Ionel | 54c | 48.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michiel de Krom | 33c | 37.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Michiel de Krom | 41c | 34.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Michiel de Krom | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Nicholas Ionel | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Michiel de Krom | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Nicholas Ionel | 56c | 28.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Nicholas Ionel | 58c | 24.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Nicholas Ionel | 61c | 20.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Michiel de Krom | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf1…6adcbacked Nicholas Ionel | 58c | 19.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Nicholas Ionel | 70c | 17.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…74fdbacked Nicholas Ionel | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.