Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 Croatia?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae12905be69b7dadc377dd39cc1f10a65aa5476d4a31184173e559eb5e1d7dff

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $102,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $99,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,558 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	10c	15,237$1,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,521.43	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes	11c	5,027$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.97	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	10c	3,501$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.66	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes	11c	2,918$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.98	302	14.6%44 W · 258 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Yes	15c	2,058$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	144	30.6%44 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x17fa…43c0backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	11c	1,910$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.82	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	11c	1,636$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes	14c	1,479$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.43	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c6…3947backed Yes	11c	908.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	157	22.9%36 W · 121 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes	11c	834.44$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.44	173	29.5%51 W · 122 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes	13c	750$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	133	48.1%64 W · 69 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes	12c	652.84$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	12c	643.67$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.84	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes	12c	600$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	388	17%66 W · 322 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes	10c	599.62$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.96	355	14.4%51 W · 304 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Yes	15c	598$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.4	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd2…8e36backed Yes	10c	479.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x995e…4ae4backed Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	104	22.1%23 W · 81 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes	15c	447.44$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	229	14%32 W · 197 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes	11c	444$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.84	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d23…d5a9backed Yes	38c	442.22$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.07	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+83.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes	8c	427.12$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.17	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes	13c	423.08$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	97	30.9%30 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3f…c16abacked Yes	12c	409.01$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb587…28eebacked Yes	11c	406.18$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.68	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf277…cb2dbacked Yes	17c	400$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1134…572abacked Yes	12c	379.92$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	104	16.3%17 W · 87 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	308	18.5%57 W · 251 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes	13c	308.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.77	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	399	32.6%130 W · 269 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes	11c	288$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	473	21.6%102 W · 371 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes	11c	267.13$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.38	335	10.1%34 W · 301 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	11c	262$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.82	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	151	51%77 W · 74 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	14c	250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b3e…f290backed Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes	11c	225$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	66	7.6%5 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2738…95a0backed Yes	11c	209.09$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7525…ad62backed Yes	12c	203.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	132	15.2%20 W · 112 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes	12c	199.46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	324	22.5%73 W · 251 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e8…4903backed Yes	12c	193.83$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.26	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes	11c	190.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	632	29.3%185 W · 447 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes	12c	183$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	172	11%19 W · 153 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ce…0b85backed Yes	10c	178.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes	12c	156.64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x923a…e723backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…0382backed Yes	12c	153.75$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.77	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d4…5356backed Yes	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1706…3eb7backed Yes	15c	137.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	42.7%32 W · 43 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabd5…bb74backed Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	67	10.4%7 W · 60 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	302	15.2%46 W · 256 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7114…337abacked Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7906…cfe0backed Yes	11c	130$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	70	15.7%11 W · 59 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	155	19.4%30 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	13c	118.87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d02…1bb8backed Yes	11c	118.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	277	32.5%90 W · 187 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f89…2140backed Yes	10c	105$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…d204backed Yes	11c	101$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	97	38.1%37 W · 60 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x718f…bf95backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaef3…ee83backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	189	18.5%35 W · 154 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	319	41.4%132 W · 187 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf64b…e382backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	11c	92.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36db…74fdbacked Yes	11c	91.82$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	17cpaid	+120.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 Croatia?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 1 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 Croatia?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 Croatia?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event