Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7694ba9e1353ac923c22c85d1fa746e6cfeb11c9185b005a780a1ecc799d6d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc867…8b00backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 4c | 8,923$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.77 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 4c | 8,766$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.81 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 6,550$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.39 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 4c | 6,062$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…4fd8backed Yes | 9c | 5,845$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.4 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 4c | 5,166$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…eba2backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 34.3%34 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,980$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 6c | 2,409$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 4c | 2,059$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 4c | 1,650$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,444$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 1,368$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 4c | 1,256$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 1,030$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…c780backed Yes | 10c | 990.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…bbc3backed Yes | 10c | 810.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 5c | 763$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 8c | 750$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 658.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 9c | 545.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 4c | 532.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 10c | 498.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 8c | 497.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…94e9backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 10c | 287.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43c…64ecbacked Yes | 10c | 285.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 8c | 281.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…c2cabacked Yes | 8c | 274.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 10c | 258.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…f127backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 5c | 249.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…0ab3backed Yes | 8c | 244.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 7c | 218.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…2f17backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…7f34backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…537cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6403…0318backed Yes | 10c | 198.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes | 10c | 198.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 11c | 181.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes | 10c | 181.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 6c | 181$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…61ebbacked Yes | 11c | 130.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…df73backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3a…a25cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…65d8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 Croatia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.