Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ebb4839b9af3ee8de8acb031003dd83158e0beac49071c8898188ce8a0af85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 5,228$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 2c | 3,503$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 2c | 1,227$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Yes | 17c | 1,177$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 16c | 875$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb282…cde9backed Yes | 16c | 769.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes | 16c | 718.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 264 | 24.6%65 W · 199 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Yes | 17c | 562.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…6ad3backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…7db8backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…3123backed Yes | 16c | 275.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 20c | 252.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…e86fbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36e…538fbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…bc97backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 17c | 121.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…9f33backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b03…4dc0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…e859backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 19.8%38 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…d619backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 29.3%55 W · 133 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc544…68c6backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x533b…0a9ebacked Yes | 16c | 80.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 232 | 27.6%64 W · 168 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…85adbacked Yes | 16c | 79.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…6d14backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…9c50backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…abbbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…b9f4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b7…451ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…5176backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 15.8%12 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…852cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…c2cabacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 77c | 40.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.