Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd674d3a723d77bfe08e798a8f9e43270659c41862f1f4389fa498fca217b4d5a

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $138,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $123,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,960 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	9c	15,257$1,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.6	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes	9c	9,474$853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.68	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	9c	8,024$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.16	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes	9c	7,778$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	251	24.7%62 W · 189 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	9c	4,999$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.92	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes	10c	3,090$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.65	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes	9c	2,965$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.85	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Yes	9c	2,776$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.82	80	25%20 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes	9c	2,678$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.01	290	17.6%51 W · 239 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	156	16%25 W · 131 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	9c	2,142$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.78	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes	11c	2,021$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.22	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	14c	2,000$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.35	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	4c	1,857$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.84	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	63	9.5%6 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	8c	1,480$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.15	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Yes	11c	1,157$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	5c	1,128$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.74	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	316	11.4%36 W · 280 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	8c	1,013$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.78	190	26.3%50 W · 140 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	138	26.1%36 W · 102 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes	11c	856.36$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.76	218	7.3%16 W · 202 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes	8c	770.82$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.67	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	8c	756$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	10c	741$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.1	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	9c	655.56$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	21.2%14 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked Yes	11c	457.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0182…9d3ebacked Yes	9c	448.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	120	15.8%19 W · 101 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfe…256ebacked Yes	9c	432.44$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.92	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes	9c	422.22$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	264	24.6%65 W · 199 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4841…1767backed Yes	10c	360.06$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.55	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cd…0558backed Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	93	18.3%17 W · 76 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee12…50a4backed Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	22%9 W · 32 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8933…630dbacked Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	126	22.2%28 W · 98 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2766…bd13backed Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	308	31.2%96 W · 212 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed4…7865backed Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0340…f97dbacked Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes	5c	328.07$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d61…77e3backed Yes	9c	325.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes	9c	288.89$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…f108backed Yes	9c	277.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c4…256ebacked Yes	9c	277.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	8c	265.93$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.27	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f92…c27cbacked Yes	7c	263.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes	9c	263.01$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	356	21.9%78 W · 278 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	9c	246.11$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.48	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes	9c	244.44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	177	27.7%49 W · 128 L	-10.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	9c	244.44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes	9c	243.67$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	454	24.7%112 W · 342 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b70…56fabacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	192	19.8%38 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1286…da74backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	204	27.5%56 W · 148 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…836dbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…fa07backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7514…82d1backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cda…de81backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	82	23.2%19 W · 63 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	9c	215.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8aa…7934backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd2…b584backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	246	16.3%40 W · 206 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	300	11.3%34 W · 266 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes	9c	198.06$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	348	44.3%154 W · 194 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Yes	9c	155.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	94	17%16 W · 78 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Yes	10c	155.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	277	32.5%90 W · 187 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Yes	9c	154$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9afe…7b07backed Yes	8c	137.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	48	8.3%4 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3512…e2d6backed Yes	9c	134$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f7…6ae0backed Yes	9c	133.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	54	13%7 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…b8dcbacked Yes	9c	127.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a2…4becbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b28…b87dbacked Yes	9c	116.11$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b0…35d3backed Yes	9c	112$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1f…2ae3backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd831…6fccbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 1 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 Croatia?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event