Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf36cafe3ab4dc8135daf6b9d78eb3a631d1bd8ff5fbe83cc60cd913f27a29d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marin Cilicof Brandon Nakashima, Marin Cilic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,968 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 24,703$14,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,227.7 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Brandon Nakashima | 60c | 18,666$11,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,276.94 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Marin Cilic | 39c | 17,111$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,512.19 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marin Cilic | 37c | 14,020$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,860.14 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Brandon Nakashima | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 9,834$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.06 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Brandon Nakashima | 59c | 8,804$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.52 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marin Cilic | 35c | 8,566$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.25 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 8,515$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.8 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Brandon Nakashima | 46c | 8,106$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.65 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Brandon Nakashima | 59c | 8,080$4,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,748.79 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 5.3%4 W · 71 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Marin Cilic | 43c | 7,998$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.97 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 7,754$4,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Marin Cilic | 18c | 7,065$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,796.68 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Marin Cilic | 44c | 7,061$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Marin Cilic | 46c | 6,516$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.15 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…b3e0backed Marin Cilic | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marin Cilic | 44c | 6,289$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.12 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Marin Cilic | 43c | 6,220$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.81 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Marin Cilic | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Brandon Nakashima | 59c | 4,530$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marin Cilic | 39c | 4,521$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.54 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Brandon Nakashima | 2c | 4,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Marin Cilic | 36c | 4,464$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.58 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Marin Cilic | 33c | 4,320$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.35 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 4,016$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…1e47backed Brandon Nakashima | 73c | 3,806$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 3,354$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.86 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Brandon Nakashima | 63c | 3,351$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.79 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 3,304$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.04 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 61c | 3,294$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.39 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Brandon Nakashima | 52c | 3,039$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.02 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 2,962$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Marin Cilic | 40c | 2,904$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.81 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…9cd7backed Brandon Nakashima | 60c | 2,875$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.94 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Marin Cilic | 40c | 2,794$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.45 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Brandon Nakashima | 60c | 2,678$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.8 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Brandon Nakashima | 75c | 2,430$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.63 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…ee3ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 59c | 2,358$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Marin Cilic | 43c | 2,265$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.05 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Marin Cilic | 41c | 2,223$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.64 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 2,191$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.19 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Brandon Nakashima | 64c | 2,101$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marin Cilic | 37c | 1,975$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Marin Cilic | 39c | 1,922$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.52 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Marin Cilic | 38c | 1,908$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.92 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marin Cilic | 38c | 1,900$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Marin Cilic | 40c | 1,860$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.64 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Brandon Nakashima | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Marin Cilic | 50c | 1,559$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Marin Cilic | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 1,450$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.5 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Brandon Nakashima | 61c | 1,403$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.33 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Marin Cilic | 42c | 1,353$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.7 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…b277backed Brandon Nakashima | 56c | 1,248$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb712…cf18backed Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 1,150$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Brandon Nakashima | 66c | 1,142$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.04 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Brandon Nakashima | 53c | 1,100$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.53 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Brandon Nakashima | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Brandon Nakashima | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Marin Cilic | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Brandon Nakashima | 46c | 953.86$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Marin Cilic | 37c | 912.79$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.06 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Brandon Nakashima | 66c | 908.79$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.9 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Brandon Nakashima | 3c | 900$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 861.89$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.37 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Marin Cilic | 40c | 860.21$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.13 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61aa…ff6fbacked Marin Cilic | 70c | 858.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Brandon Nakashima | 59c | 847.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 812.52$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.18 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Marin Cilic | 31c | 812.22$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.88 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…327ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 56c | 811.45$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Marin Cilic | 40c | 810$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 808.51$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.78 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Marin Cilic | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Brandon Nakashima | 63c | 798.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…c760backed Brandon Nakashima | 61c | 767.6$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Marin Cilic | 42c | 759.54$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.37 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Brandon Nakashima | 48c | 730.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Marin Cilic | 40c | 697.5$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…6ddfbacked Brandon Nakashima | 65c | 696.48$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Marin Cilic | 44c | 695.45$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.45 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 685.55$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.44 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Marin Cilic | 42c | 684$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.72 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marin Cilic | 41c | 683$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Brandon Nakashima | 75c | 671.59$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.83 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Marin Cilic | 38c | 664.65$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.08 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Marin Cilic | 39c | 649.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 645.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 59c | 620.94$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Brandon Nakashima | 65c | 598$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.39 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Marin Cilic | 30c | 597.87$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.51 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 576.17$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Marin Cilic | 40c | 500.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicthis page
- Nakashima vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Nakashima vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)Cilic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.