Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Gabriele Pennaforti vs Sean Cuenin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7bfcf46211941470a14713b8fcfc20bfa89c614c01876730e5e9798b7864774
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sean Cueninof Gabriele Pennaforti, Sean Cuenin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,739 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 4c | 8,215$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.16 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 2c | 7,077$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 1c | 1,822$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 8c | 1,416$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 11c | 1,402$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 10c | 1,038$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 7c | 941.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 11c | 900$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 37c | 507.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 5c | 338.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Sean Cuenin | 66c | 305.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sean Cuenin | 64c | 303$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sean Cuenin | 62c | 212$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 35c | 182.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 8c | 180.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sean Cuenin | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 36c | 139.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 11c | 129.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Sean Cuenin | 64c | 118.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sean Cuenin | 76c | 101.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Sean Cuenin | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 33c | 97.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…fa43backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 21c | 96.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Sean Cuenin | 66c | 70.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sean Cuenin | 66c | 62.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sean Cuenin | 63c | 61.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Sean Cuenin | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 34c | 55.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 34c | 54.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sean Cuenin | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 37c | 29.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…74fdbacked Sean Cuenin | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.