Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Jake Delaney vs Taro Daniel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93695b9be769eca7aa26d2f19263d61893ca7887d9588a2a12e97b437263ddca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taro Danielof Jake Delaney, Taro Daniel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,335 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jake Delaney | 6c | 5,343$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.95 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 2,147$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Taro Daniel | 65c | 2,143$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.61 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jake Delaney | 33c | 1,522$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jake Delaney | 34c | 1,250$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jake Delaney | 31c | 1,138$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jake Delaney | 9c | 470.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jake Delaney | 27c | 449.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jake Delaney | 34c | 436.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Taro Daniel | 64c | 336.69$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Jake Delaney | 37c | 302.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Jake Delaney | 35c | 285.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Jake Delaney | 36c | 258$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Jake Delaney | 33c | 213.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Jake Delaney | 31c | 210.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Jake Delaney | 34c | 193.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Jake Delaney | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Jake Delaney | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Taro Daniel | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jake Delaney | 28c | 154.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Taro Daniel | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…72bebacked Jake Delaney | 12c | 133.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee1…a1f5backed Taro Daniel | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…9f17backed Jake Delaney | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Jake Delaney | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Jake Delaney | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jake Delaney | 23c | 87.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Taro Daniel | 71c | 81.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Taro Daniel | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed Jake Delaney | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Taro Daniel | 70c | 67.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Taro Daniel | 72c | 65.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jake Delaney | 32c | 59.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Taro Daniel | 61c | 56.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb249…d7ebbacked Jake Delaney | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jake Delaney | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…d899backed Taro Daniel | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fb…5d28backed Jake Delaney | 32c | 46.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Taro Daniel | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Taro Daniel | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Taro Daniel | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Taro Daniel | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Taro Daniel | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Taro Daniel | 75c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…74fdbacked Taro Daniel | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…9988backed Taro Daniel | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.