Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa99faa1b4065abbc673dd74a32a4e2f90cb53413501870c05ac1898a8458582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefano Napolitanoof Joel Schwaerzler, Stefano Napolitano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,561 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 69c | 5,581$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.9 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stefano Napolitano | 69c | 5,365$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.02 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stefano Napolitano | 50c | 4,520$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.48 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefano Napolitano | 70c | 3,102$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.16 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 34c | 2,866$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.57 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 59c | 2,658$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.14 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Stefano Napolitano | 58c | 2,534$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.04 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Joel Schwaerzler | 34c | 2,360$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.56 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 38c | 1,781$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.02 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Joel Schwaerzler | 54c | 1,742$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.69 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 1,464$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Joel Schwaerzler | 48c | 1,460$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefano Napolitano | 59c | 1,207$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.78 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 44c | 1,142$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Joel Schwaerzler | 58c | 1,129$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Joel Schwaerzler | 58c | 1,100$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.01 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 1,060$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.2 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Joel Schwaerzler | 32c | 948.96$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 41c | 933.51$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.61 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 57c | 877.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Joel Schwaerzler | 39c | 743.28$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 45c | 711.93$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Joel Schwaerzler | 31c | 703.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.58 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Joel Schwaerzler | 54c | 638.56$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.16 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Joel Schwaerzler | 29c | 576.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.63 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 45c | 559.65$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Stefano Napolitano | 30c | 521.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.22 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stefano Napolitano | 66c | 505.69$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.24 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Joel Schwaerzler | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Joel Schwaerzler | 58c | 498.75$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 708 | 57.5%407 W · 301 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 53c | 472.81$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…a117backed Stefano Napolitano | 44c | 470$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 42c | 409.72$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.71 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Stefano Napolitano | 53c | 399.87$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Stefano Napolitano | 46c | 384.41$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.33 | 756 | 48.7%368 W · 388 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 67c | 374.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Stefano Napolitano | 31c | 342.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.76 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 322.89$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.39 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Stefano Napolitano | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Joel Schwaerzler | 36c | 310$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Joel Schwaerzler | 47c | 308.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Stefano Napolitano | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 975 | 40.1%391 W · 584 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Joel Schwaerzler | 7c | 284.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Stefano Napolitano | 69c | 272.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Joel Schwaerzler | 33c | 269.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 268.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Joel Schwaerzler | 58c | 258$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Stefano Napolitano | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Joel Schwaerzler | 62c | 250$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Joel Schwaerzler | 52c | 247.56$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 70c | 245$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Joel Schwaerzler | 62c | 244$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 49c | 239.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 45c | 237.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Joel Schwaerzler | 33c | 237.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…55cdbacked Stefano Napolitano | 35c | 216$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stefano Napolitano | 41c | 213$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stefano Napolitano | 65c | 194.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Stefano Napolitano | 42c | 193.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 1,828 | 53.1%971 W · 857 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 33c | 188.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 579 | 48.5%281 W · 298 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 45c | 183.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Stefano Napolitano | 66c | 171.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 483 | 52.2%252 W · 231 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 167.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…69d0backed Stefano Napolitano | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 77c | 154.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 54c | 154.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 33c | 149.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Joel Schwaerzler | 73c | 143.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Joel Schwaerzler | 36c | 142.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stefano Napolitano | 67c | 142.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Stefano Napolitano | 56c | 136.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Joel Schwaerzler | 34c | 130.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 58c | 129.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Joel Schwaerzler | 59c | 126.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…b482backed Stefano Napolitano | 46c | 125.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Joel Schwaerzler | 54c | 117.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 117.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc191…8376backed Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 116$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Stefano Napolitano | 66c | 114.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0d…3ff9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 114$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Stefano Napolitano | 49c | 101.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Joel Schwaerzler | 40c | 100.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Joel Schwaerzler | 43c | 97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Stefano Napolitano | 52c | 96.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 327 | 55.4%181 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Stefano Napolitano | 44c | 91.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Stefano Napolitano | 42c | 89.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 63c | 88.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…f53cbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 57c | 87.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Stefano Napolitano | 59c | 81.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 76.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 68c | 69.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 37c | 66.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali 2: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitanothis page
- Joel Schwaerzler vs. Stefano Napolitano: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Schwaerzler vs. Napolitano: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Schwaerzler vs. Napolitano: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Schwaerzler vs. Napolitano: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Schwaerzler vs. Napolitano: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Schwaerzler vs. Napolitano: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Schwaerzler vs NapolitanoNapolitano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.