Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660f6c26fa490cfc29c6185ce026bdcc226106763ef94941cb6f1d51c4ef7c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Carreno Bustaof Andrea Pellegrino, Pablo Carreno Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,707 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Andrea Pellegrino | 19c | 6,209$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.47 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Andrea Pellegrino | 0c | 4,302$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 65c | 3,056$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.19 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 19c | 2,118$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 73c | 1,949$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.88 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andrea Pellegrino | 3c | 1,898$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Andrea Pellegrino | 1c | 1,897$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 30c | 1,871$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.44 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Andrea Pellegrino | 5c | 1,781$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed Andrea Pellegrino | 7c | 1,753$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 65c | 1,529$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 4c | 1,266$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 61c | 1,128$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Andrea Pellegrino | 35c | 1,108$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.37 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 14c | 1,042$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 63c | 922.01$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.84 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 60c | 861.02$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Andrea Pellegrino | 48c | 832.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 61c | 814.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed Andrea Pellegrino | 20c | 766.9$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 61c | 560.08$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.63 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andrea Pellegrino | 39c | 520.01$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.21 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 21c | 475.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 38c | 461$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 451.34$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 39c | 313$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Andrea Pellegrino | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Andrea Pellegrino | 18c | 293.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…d123backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 79c | 221.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed Andrea Pellegrino | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Andrea Pellegrino | 38c | 189.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Andrea Pellegrino | 39c | 160.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…bbaabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 76c | 156.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Andrea Pellegrino | 38c | 155.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Andrea Pellegrino | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Andrea Pellegrino | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 149.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Andrea Pellegrino | 7c | 142.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 136.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 129$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Andrea Pellegrino | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 126.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 21c | 120.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 119.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 108.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Andrea Pellegrino | 38c | 101.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 40c | 100.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Andrea Pellegrino | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 81.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…e8debacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 74.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Andrea Pellegrino | 33c | 69.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Andrea Pellegrino | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 38c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Andrea Pellegrino | 43c | 58.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 60c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Andrea Pellegrino | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Andrea Pellegrino | 41c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 34c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 62c | 46.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 40.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…f9e7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 40c | 31.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Andrea Pellegrino | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 40c | 30.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 28.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 40c | 27.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Andrea Pellegrino | 38c | 27.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 78c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…41d9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a83bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 60c | 18.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…74fdbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murcia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Andrea Pellegrino vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Pellegrino vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Pellegrino vs BustaBusta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.