Tennis · resolved market
Santiago: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Thiago Monteiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73a1f6e2ad1a142132e32ddb074cb650571a7bb732e701b78ce2c03c3c32dbea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Monteiroof Gianluca Cadenasso, Thiago Monteiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,961 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 53c | 13,634$7,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,289.59 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thiago Monteiro | 29c | 2,627$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.06 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Thiago Monteiro | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Thiago Monteiro | 65c | 1,530$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 52c | 1,224$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 26c | 1,205$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.46 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Thiago Monteiro | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Thiago Monteiro | 24c | 962.96$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.85 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Thiago Monteiro | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…4c63backed Thiago Monteiro | 45c | 724$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 36c | 644.17$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.19 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Thiago Monteiro | 51c | 588.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.43 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Thiago Monteiro | 49c | 570.94$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.28 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Thiago Monteiro | 64c | 393.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 21c | 365.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 35c | 351.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…438cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 46c | 302.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 42c | 302.53$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Thiago Monteiro | 56c | 299$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Thiago Monteiro | 40c | 291.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Thiago Monteiro | 53c | 272$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…f5debacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 36c | 265.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Thiago Monteiro | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 35c | 248.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 44c | 238.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Thiago Monteiro | 53c | 228$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…3138backed Thiago Monteiro | 65c | 201.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Thiago Monteiro | 51c | 196.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Thiago Monteiro | 62c | 191$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 35c | 157.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Thiago Monteiro | 31c | 155.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 35c | 155.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Thiago Monteiro | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Thiago Monteiro | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 44c | 139.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 29c | 123.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Thiago Monteiro | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Thiago Monteiro | 71c | 119.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 32c | 100.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Thiago Monteiro | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Thiago Monteiro | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Thiago Monteiro | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Thiago Monteiro | 51c | 98.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed Thiago Monteiro | 63c | 96.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thiago Monteiro | 61c | 89.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 42c | 83.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Thiago Monteiro | 25c | 82.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 50c | 66.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 35c | 63.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 37c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 28c | 60.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 35c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Thiago Monteiro | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Thiago Monteiro | 54c | 52.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Thiago Monteiro | 29c | 48.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Thiago Monteiro | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Thiago Monteiro | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 36c | 45.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Thiago Monteiro | 59c | 44.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…6dc1backed Thiago Monteiro | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…442cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 35c | 38.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Thiago Monteiro | 43c | 33.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 40c | 30.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…e6f7backed Thiago Monteiro | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Thiago Monteiro | 60c | 20.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Thiago Monteiro | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…6589backed Thiago Monteiro | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…74fdbacked Thiago Monteiro | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santiago: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Thiago Monteirothis page
- Cadenasso vs. Monteiro: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Cadenasso vs. Monteiro: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Cadenasso vs. Monteiro: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Gianluca Cadenasso vs. Thiago Monteiro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.