Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a6cbfb18f28e7b31c48f8708431730cc170b4b18e5616e543d4595b032ac76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed Yes | 31c | 990$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed Yes | 24c | 962$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked No | 69c | 692$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 31c | 656$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 31c | 601$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…8919backed No | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed No | 69c | 565$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…6487backed No | 69c | 401$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed No | 69c | 391$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 76c | 362$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368e…84e1backed Yes | 75c | 323.53$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 25c | 316.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…42b7backed No | 69c | 198$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 45c | 185$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?this page
- Will a team from Poland be the 2026 Conference League winner?No won
- Will a team from Ukraine be the 2026 Conference League winner?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.