NBA · resolved market

Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0d99e77290e776bb65866c82f745746777dffbe248fae7568a8bf6f63e4ddb0

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $264,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $253,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,216 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafa4…bb29backed Yes	30c	49,086$14,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,725.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e0…fb31backed No	70c	25,996$18,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,798.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	62cpaid	+65.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e1e…3325backed No	70c	22,958$16,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,888.25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+85.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes	0c	21,428$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.54	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	27c	8,047$2,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,133.16	221	40.3%89 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed Yes	63c	1,417$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.26	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked Yes	58c	1,288$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.17	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c12…d725backed No	24c	1,193$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$906.68	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+85.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaae6…3d05backed No	31c	1,175$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810.75	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df6…0f0fbacked Yes	64c	1,163$744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.32	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x086a…1435backed Yes	34c	1,136$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.15	63	19%12 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed No	36c	1,102$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.28	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x214e…3c01backed No	74c	1,078$801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.2	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes	64c	1,067$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.88	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.25per pick	45cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Yes	70c	1,042$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.4	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed No	51c	953$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.9	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f68…2238backed Yes	69c	924$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked No	31c	837$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.53	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+60%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3214…f00ebacked Yes	69c	822$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.18	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8faa…1b5cbacked Yes	2c	817.87$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	78c	802.59$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.91	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+7.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x298c…67fbbacked Yes	64c	801$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.64	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes	73c	795$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.87	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc40a…1f50backed No	24c	789$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.64	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…3734backed No	36c	786$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.04	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd907…f15fbacked Yes	69c	775$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.75	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed No	30c	764$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.8	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No	30c	751$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525.7	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.4wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d93…7f30backed No	28c	750$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked No	31c	748$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.12	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca67…2648backed Yes	69c	744$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.36	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked No	36c	737$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.68	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea90…0f8fbacked No	36c	724$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.36	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Yes	63c	722$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.54	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed No	31c	720$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.8	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed No	31c	716$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.04	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+5.5wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad04…dce5backed Yes	72c	710$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.2	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x756e…fe0fbacked Yes	3c	706.55$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa15b…200fbacked Yes	64c	684$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.76	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked No	78c	677.15$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.33	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9e…bd49backed No	28c	675$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+3.6wins	+0.36per pick	44cpaid	+103.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed No	32c	660$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.7	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-4.9wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed No	24c	652$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.52	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes	72c	633$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.76	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61a8…f658backed Yes	65c	623.07$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.31	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	620.63$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18fa…3730backed No	36c	620$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ec…46cebacked Yes	64c	618$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.52	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0af…7ec6backed No	36c	618$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.52	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425a…78cbbacked Yes	64c	616$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked Yes	64c	615$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.6	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes	20c	607$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.68	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd81…ae79backed No	31c	606$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.14	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.46per pick	29cpaid	+215%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fb6…5ea0backed Yes	69c	605$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.45	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc450…a5b8backed No	36c	594$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.16	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5784…4018backed Yes	72c	593$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.96	20	50%10 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf73d…20e2backed No	76c	590.18$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes	76c	585$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.6	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes	76c	576$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.76	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	37cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e79…e974backed No	27c	575$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.75	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	47cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafa3…c3ddbacked No	30c	574$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.34	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168e…aa56backed Yes	69c	570$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.3	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed Yes	76c	556$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.56	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed Yes	69c	552$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.88	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5395…9d41backed Yes	69c	549$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.81	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed No	31c	545$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.05	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes	4c	536.51$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	42	2.4%1 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbcac…f545backed No	36c	527$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.28	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed No	24c	520$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.2	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a2…3dfcbacked Yes	64c	516$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.24	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes	69c	503$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.07	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3129…22edbacked Yes	54c	498.75$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.8	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13b6…ba85backed Yes	72c	496$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.52	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+66.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x506a…1b43backed Yes	72c	486$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.92	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7176…6f9fbacked No	31c	486$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.34	22	50%11 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed No	31c	481$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.07	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed Yes	76c	475$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8465…6cd7backed Yes	64c	467$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.88	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…b7d3backed No	28c	464$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.08	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes	53c	462$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.14	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed Yes	65c	442.3$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.5	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88fa…2cf4backed No	28c	441$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.52	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed Yes	69c	437$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.53	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06d8…4c30backed Yes	72c	434$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.48	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a10…e7d3backed No	28c	434$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.48	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+61.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed Yes	69c	430$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.7	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95cc…f215backed No	24c	419$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.44	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Yes	76c	417$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.92	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed Yes	69c	412$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.28	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x293b…c83bbacked No	36c	408$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.12	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	5c	406.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.91	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e7…9bc7backed No	28c	404$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.88	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	99	39.4%39 W · 60 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes	69c	395$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.55	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	55c	390.23$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.75	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd286…d20ebacked Yes	64c	389$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.96	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8697…4165backed No	36c	385$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.4	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9081…0b1ebacked No	31c	378$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.82	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+19%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c09…28d0backed No	28c	375$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked Yes	19c	365$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.35	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event