NBA · resolved market

Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x664fd202034c5c3f0d7a2dd30f3cfa42c19afe2d3e2e6daca1bd4d18f1f9f5b3

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,001 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	5c	1,540$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.66	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	1c	1,496$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	2c	1,432$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.82	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	3c	1,205$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.58	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1446…0a30backed Yes	1c	1,200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x086a…1435backed Yes	3c	742.3$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.95	63	19%12 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed Yes	13c	658$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.06	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	3c	639.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.32	138	35.5%49 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	2c	549.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	498.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes	3c	462$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f404backed Yes	3c	385$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes	3c	384$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.29	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes	3c	378$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed Yes	7c	256$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e74…b428backed Yes	6c	228.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed Yes	16c	155$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.11	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea45…e748backed Yes	16c	70.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event