Movies · resolved market
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7810051484af7923b422024e0cd53aac2f68b91d6ad7f451c36e117378ee9194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,575 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 29c | 2,224$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.61 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc929…96cebacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,019$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.94 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 78c | 914$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.67 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked No | 74c | 864$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked No | 75c | 834$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…6e2ebacked Yes | 21c | 793$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…5907backed No | 79c | 683$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 78c | 618$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 600$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 16c | 593$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 74c | 568$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 17c | 516.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 14c | 515$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 29c | 513$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Yes | 29c | 510$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 75c | 509.47$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 18c | 491$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed Yes | 18c | 485$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked No | 78c | 459$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes | 22c | 459$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 446$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 23c | 439.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 18c | 428$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked Yes | 25c | 422$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…be97backed Yes | 15c | 421.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked Yes | 15c | 413$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…d866backed Yes | 25c | 412$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 22c | 406$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 74c | 404$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612d…3fd1backed Yes | 26c | 402$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 71c | 390.78$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7e…7dfdbacked Yes | 12c | 386$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 28c | 366.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.11 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 76c | 347$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed No | 79c | 346$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 21c | 346$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 71c | 343$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 71c | 342$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed Yes | 18c | 339$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed No | 71c | 338$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 75c | 334.89$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 68c | 316.66$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed Yes | 34c | 309.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 25c | 299$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked No | 75c | 299$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 71c | 291.27$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 29c | 262.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 70c | 234$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 230.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 71c | 221.64$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…4ce7backed Yes | 32c | 217.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde62…64f6backed Yes | 22c | 212$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 26c | 210.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 12c | 179$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 168.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…c4c5backed Yes | 32c | 167.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 15c | 163.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 69c | 154.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 147.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…8916backed Yes | 26c | 146.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 16c | 143$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 71c | 138$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…2815backed Yes | 31c | 134.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e8…ee0dbacked Yes | 32c | 124.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…af78backed Yes | 16c | 124.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 124$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef02…4f7ebacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…7754backed No | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…cb87backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 26c | 106.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681e…5394backed Yes | 30c | 101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 30c | 100.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…0db1backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed No | 70c | 92.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa829…172abacked Yes | 22c | 91.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 30c | 91.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…596dbacked No | 74c | 88.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked Yes | 18c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…24d2backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 74.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3840…14bebacked Yes | 29c | 72.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 32c | 64.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…24e0backed Yes | 32c | 62.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…971abacked No | 72c | 60.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…cf43backed Yes | 31c | 59.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…77adbacked No | 73c | 55.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?this page
- Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?No won
- Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?No won
- Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?Yes won
- Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?No won
- Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?No won
- Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.