TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33e0…7d46backed No36c10,000$3,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,609.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed No36c8,269$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c6,389$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.871,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c6,299$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.736,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes78c4,866$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.7641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes76c4,250$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.6128736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9357…042ebacked Yes76c4,087$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No9c3,769$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes12c3,389$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.3820448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes12c3,085$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No60c2,883$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.4151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c2,869$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.844,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes37c2,819$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.1269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes12c2,712$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.839537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes11c2,505$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.6317833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes13c2,500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,17568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes78c2,482$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.7967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes34c2,439$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.7530666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9b92…0c9fbacked Yes72c1,954$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c1,799$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.962,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes12c1,646$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.8115344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes11c1,631$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.91,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes12c1,629$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.5326229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes12c1,500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No31c1,352$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.371,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed No19c1,337$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2856…f846backed Yes76c1,220$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.892152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No70c1,214$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes30c1,105$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.928070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No42c1,099$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.712,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes20c1,021$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.685637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes69c1,013$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.076855.9%38 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8702123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes13c966.5$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.525034%17 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes69c911.38$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.531968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No14c903.65$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8629253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes53c860.35$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.230739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes13c858.85$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.22030%6 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+51.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe220…0aaebacked Yes70c781.43$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.432755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed Yes13c763.19$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.193672.2%26 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.292128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes13c626$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.6236845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes11c625.76$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.9318958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Yes65c619.25$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.74862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0167…5b48backed Yes69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.711553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed No37c559.49$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.012055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked No52c546.94$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.94528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Yes73c546.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.272638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes12c533.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.7425551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes66c519$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.464168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b23…fe31backed Yes78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes13c509.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.628942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes13c500.24$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7129427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e43…6170backed Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes13c490$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.491,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes65c467.02$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.468155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No68c450.08$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9221463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c41…18edbacked Yes50c420.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.251566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…5f44backed Yes13c400$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes13c400$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34822932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed No41c390$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Yes71c372.71$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.713253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes14c360$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.610345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No30c345.76$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes13c328$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.361,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd6…16f8backed Yes75c320.73$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes12c316$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0813543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e8…a953backed Yes69c315.72$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked No64c277.16$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.173447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed No37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No57c270$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.936462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No40c262.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes14c257$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0211945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Yes12c250$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes12c250$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22044036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes12c245.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.91922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid+16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf0…de6dbacked Yes10c245$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick24cpaid+139.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes69c238$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.833167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked No28c234.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed No69c227.54$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15711557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked No31c201.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.63432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes13c199.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1747240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes78c182.59$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0761441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17c8…72a6backed Yes59c162.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes64c157.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.931,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8519336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86d5…4a04backed Yes13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b58…8f7dbacked Yes14c152.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes13c150$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.533124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…def4backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf76d…7c42backed Yes31c137.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.69944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes63c130.65$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0117744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d78…490ebacked No68c127.54$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes12c125$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11054128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x017b…4e46backed Yes69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.941291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes13c115.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.387445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Yes13c112.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.985038%19 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505c…1604backed Yes14c107.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.141323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.