Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b06a3b22f097b0c7391b42f771e73bbf0ed2305e82cd7f5367f7121bf8195f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 70c | 12,598$8,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.95 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 31c | 12,468$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.06 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 20c | 12,134$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.85 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 70c | 10,049$7,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.21 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 6,221$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.05 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 19c | 5,066$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.49 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 3,544$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.88 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 3,112$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 14c | 2,952$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.68 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 30c | 2,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 72c | 1,621$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.92 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 27c | 1,592$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.86 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 80c | 1,469$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.71 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 80c | 1,434$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 1,184$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.47 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,175$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 31c | 774.19$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed Yes | 20c | 763.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 80c | 688.26$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 22c | 671$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 20c | 667.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 22c | 599$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 19c | 540.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…6953backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 21c | 471.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 79c | 426$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 33c | 410$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 18c | 350.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 31c | 319.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 311.06$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3678…d0a5backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 20c | 224.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 32c | 221.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 80c | 202.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 200.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…2849backed Yes | 19c | 197.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 181.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 177.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…c326backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…5030backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed No | 80c | 124.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 19c | 120.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 23c | 113.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 23c | 113.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 20c | 105.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…d8cbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…a80dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…9423backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 92.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…6ceabacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 20c | 85.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…fcd3backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 80c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…90a8backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 65.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…2026backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0c…6e9cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…6adcbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…a57ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 27c | 47.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 24c | 46.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 44.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…0146backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.