UFC · resolved market
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc648528eec0441bdb6ff7b70988ed4dba3f81f572bd9c5d7708bb19a97a21935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teixeiraof Tuivasa, Teixeira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $921,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $982,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $921,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Teixeira | 75c | 155,616$116,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,458.21 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Tuivasa | 25c | 107,460$26,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,865.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Teixeira | 74c | 88,835$65,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,097 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Tuivasa | 19c | 64,189$12,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,486.54 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Tuivasa | 26c | 55,291$14,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,375.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Tuivasa | 26c | 55,190$14,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,307.6 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Teixeira | 73c | 50,114$36,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,530.69 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Tuivasa | 27c | 38,000$10,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,260 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tuivasa | 26c | 27,175$7,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,158.6 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Teixeira | 74c | 26,623$19,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,937.36 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Teixeira | 80c | 25,640$20,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.74 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tuivasa | 20c | 20,408$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.61 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Tuivasa | 26c | 20,001$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Teixeira | 73c | 19,300$14,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.96 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Teixeira | 73c | 17,419$12,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.3 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Tuivasa | 26c | 15,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.96 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Tuivasa | 21c | 11,945$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.66 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Teixeira | 74c | 11,935$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.1 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Teixeira | 72c | 11,700$8,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Tuivasa | 28c | 11,700$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Tuivasa | 27c | 10,500$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Tuivasa | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tuivasa | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Tuivasa | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.96 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Tuivasa | 27c | 9,400$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Teixeira | 73c | 9,143$6,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.65 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Tuivasa | 26c | 9,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.97 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tuivasa | 21c | 8,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Tuivasa | 27c | 7,890$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tuivasa | 18c | 7,060$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.98 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Tuivasa | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tuivasa | 3c | 6,252$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Teixeira | 74c | 5,415$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.11 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Teixeira | 73c | 5,398$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.33 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Tuivasa | 22c | 5,262$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.52 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…2ecabacked Teixeira | 73c | 5,092$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Teixeira | 76c | 5,081$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.83 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Teixeira | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Tuivasa | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Teixeira | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tuivasa | 16c | 4,959$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.44 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Tuivasa | 31c | 4,633$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.83 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0113backed Teixeira | 75c | 4,018$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Teixeira | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Teixeira | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Tuivasa | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…36b4backed Tuivasa | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Tuivasa | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Tuivasa | 26c | 3,590$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0610…5d4dbacked Tuivasa | 8c | 3,354$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Tuivasa | 27c | 3,277$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.09 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…2f75backed Tuivasa | 16c | 3,246$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tuivasa | 26c | 3,211$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.52 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Tuivasa | 25c | 3,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…f375backed Tuivasa | 27c | 3,156$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Teixeira | 73c | 3,131$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tuivasa | 15c | 3,125$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.87 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Tuivasa | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Teixeira | 75c | 2,999$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Tuivasa | 26c | 2,724$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.56 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Tuivasa | 27c | 2,550$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe455…9e9ebacked Tuivasa | 21c | 2,541$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Tuivasa | 26c | 2,498$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.13 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Tuivasa | 26c | 2,444$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.74 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…9224backed Teixeira | 74c | 2,400$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Tuivasa | 26c | 2,314$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.64 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Tuivasa | 17c | 2,253$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Tuivasa | 26c | 2,227$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Teixeira | 74c | 2,200$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Teixeira | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Tuivasa | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Tuivasa | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Tuivasa | 27c | 1,928$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.5 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…e32cbacked Tuivasa | 27c | 1,900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Teixeira | 74c | 1,884$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Tuivasa | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Teixeira | 75c | 1,674$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Tuivasa | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Tuivasa | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Teixeira | 74c | 1,486$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.49 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Teixeira | 78c | 1,400$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…f14cbacked Teixeira | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Tuivasa | 27c | 1,352$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Teixeira | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Tuivasa | 27c | 1,296$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Teixeira | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Tuivasa | 27c | 1,228$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked Teixeira | 68c | 1,224$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Tuivasa | 26c | 1,200$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Teixeira | 73c | 1,182$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.19 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…80cebacked Tuivasa | 17c | 1,169$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Tuivasa | 13c | 1,166$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.83 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tuivasa | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Teixeira | 66c | 1,061$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.55 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Tuivasa | 21c | 1,028$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked Teixeira | 74c | 1,023$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Teixeira | 73c | 1,004$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Tuivasa | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Teixeira | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Tuivasa | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Tai Tuivasa win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Tallison Teixeira win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.