TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$292,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c29,925$11,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,044.2590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c27,031$19,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,555.481,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c24,979$18,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,790.331,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No73c13,881$10,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,804.013748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c13,517$9,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605.152,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No73c12,950$9,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,461.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c10,164$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.6250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c8,431$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.5230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes80c7,166$5,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,728.221668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No73c7,009$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked No72c7,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9602373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc2b…4564backed No72c5,546$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes28c5,516$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.67534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No75c5,467$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.679058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes28c5,352$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.4810437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes28c4,761$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3332931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c4,541$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.461,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c4,342$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.284,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes26c3,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No73c3,723$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.553452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes27c3,386$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.2226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No72c3,366$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.63930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes2c2,686$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.86777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes27c2,407$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No73c1,740$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.8615443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No73c1,706$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6212757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes78c1,614$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.4869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40513845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No73c1,445$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.154348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e3d…cdc2backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes26c1,362$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5115246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa796…dacabacked Yes28c1,357$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes27c1,357$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+40.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No72c1,331$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.379656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No73c1,188$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.671866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c1,162$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.841,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes26c1,150$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2994146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes27c1,102$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.67132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002425%6 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+67.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No73c999.99$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No71c999.25$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.717851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2f…2c89backed Yes29c925.23$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No50c844.74$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes45c801.15$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes66c750$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes22c710.59$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed No73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1893040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c694$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.932857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…3937backed No73c679$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8be5…b512backed Yes27c678.41$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No68c644.97$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.599528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes28c621.43$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1745844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No73c594.36$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes28c549.36$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9945…b626backed Yes19c530.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3551717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x673d…55f7backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Yes63c498.78$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.331338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No36c495.13$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.9319662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd61…8190backed Yes75c485.46$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes28c464.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304418.2%8 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcead…ded7backed Yes76c458.53$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes28c428.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes71c410$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.915150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes61c401$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.613262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb48…01b2backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7cc…2833backed Yes42c361.63$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006446.9%30 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No72c357.14$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No55c350$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.54740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes28c346.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.967030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes28c340.79$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.426728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes25c336$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes27c320.11$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.432030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes27c319$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1322540.4%91 W · 134 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes27c318$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.864438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes63c301.82$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.157850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No39c300.94$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.549530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3f7…8a43backed No74c300.35$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.093562.9%22 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3747…41bebacked Yes20c296.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.141735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes47c275.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.771936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.