TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No70c11,503$8,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,060.534,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c10,683$7,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,737.4990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c4,479$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.942,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes33c4,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7003737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c3,875$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.861,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12512338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes35c2,751$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.692462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No33c2,543$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.8540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No69c2,424$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.565440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c2,380$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.825872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No69c2,120$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79f0…964ebacked Yes76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No69c1,674$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1554452.3%23 W · 21 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes26c1,600$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18423762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes31c1,339$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.715232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes24c1,333$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.714067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes74c1,142$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.841,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes31c1,102$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.957132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No45c1,084$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.2421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No75c1,031$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.2660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes26c969.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.237024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes31c903.23$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.237534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes31c900$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.7742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes77c859.06$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No14c851.62$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5329038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes24c810$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.67431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No15c799.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes30c793.31$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.312240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c774.23$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.931,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No69c722$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1811260.7%68 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c682.43$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.963,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes30c662$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No8c524.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2260732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes23c500$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.554077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+43.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.43per pick48cpaid+126%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x880b…a2d6backed Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701580%12 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+108.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes26c496.15$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1520148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed Yes32c468.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.752676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.5wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+53.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes27c462.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9614023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No69c444$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.363151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No24c429.12$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8658548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Yes24c410$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.67573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes25c405$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.852213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3711929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No70c333.33$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.336553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes33c324.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.631060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+67.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20411345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011752.1%61 W · 56 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes31c291.22$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.945735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c287$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5549057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Yes30c281.22$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.851533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes31c250$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.59055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d5…9813backed Yes77c237.08$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No77c221$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2641147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No36c216.41$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0116838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes26c212.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.031833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes71c205.6$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1215036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes24c204.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.856144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13815832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+73%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3115034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No70c190.64$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.459956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes26c185.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0814067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.577853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes31c176.48$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.779354.8%51 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.672944.8%13 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+55%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c161.85$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.831,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes25c161.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.856920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes25c157.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.312934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes27c155.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.562437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0623152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No18c145.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.339533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…36e9backed Yes27c111.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+86.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes26c109.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1714333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No26c102.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.762532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No76c101.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.889528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a4…8793backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.771936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No18c95.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8683640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec2…00f6backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.751435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes30c93.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.463455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3747…41bebacked Yes25c90$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.761735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No77c89.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7515443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x95bb…213abacked Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.651050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes33c75.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.932927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes32c74.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.75034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked No69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c72.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8649447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes25c71.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0826930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No69c70.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes31c68.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.592441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e94…f7bfbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.53528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.