UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x527066872b9899cde075e6264305cad85e758617f677b720d220842279a2b24e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 74c | 3,468$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.85 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 30c | 3,354$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 31c | 2,676$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.07 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.37 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.97 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 1,411$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.79 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed No | 73c | 1,362$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 27c | 1,038$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked No | 75c | 658.61$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.19 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 68c | 654.94$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes | 31c | 636.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 68c | 579.3$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.82 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked No | 73c | 543.97$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed No | 73c | 486.73$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed No | 73c | 341.32$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 42c | 301.37$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked No | 74c | 269.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 74c | 268.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…541fbacked No | 75c | 229.79$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked No | 72c | 227.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed No | 17c | 216.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 72c | 208.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…a90abacked Yes | 30c | 197.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 64c | 197.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b1…fdf7backed Yes | 30c | 196.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed No | 70c | 191$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…1bb1backed Yes | 32c | 187.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x407f…9788backed Yes | 67c | 177.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…55a7backed Yes | 30c | 167.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 29c | 157.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9148…3fcfbacked No | 66c | 150.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…4f9ebacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…647abacked No | 74c | 145.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…49bcbacked Yes | 29c | 145$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 34cpaid | +204%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed No | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…8709backed Yes | 25c | 135.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…1fa0backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf1…1d07backed No | 76c | 131.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 32c | 130.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 23c | 109.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 104.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…1445backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Yes | 30c | 89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…04b3backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…7588backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…7420backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9ce5backed Yes | 37c | 80.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed No | 72c | 78.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8b…4729backed No | 73c | 77.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…919cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…bf7dbacked No | 71c | 70.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…811ebacked Yes | 30c | 70.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee4…3337backed Yes | 30c | 66.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…cb17backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…d2c8backed Yes | 33c | 60.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…809dbacked No | 77c | 60.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…0b01backed Yes | 30c | 57.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +234.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f6…cc02backed Yes | 30c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…d4cdbacked No | 72c | 53.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…78e7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked No | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 72c | 49.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…ef03backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe160…b6b9backed Yes | 31c | 47.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…d83fbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…971ebacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 61c | 46.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6716…7ae6backed No | 73c | 45.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5356…ac6abacked Yes | 30c | 41.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +173%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 72c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…00f3backed Yes | 28c | 40.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…4f4cbacked No | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…5bbfbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…a621backed No | 72c | 36.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…6bf2backed Yes | 66c | 36.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…a7a5backed No | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed No | 42c | 32.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…23bfbacked Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5a6bbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…3630backed No | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed No | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…dbb3backed Yes | 43c | 28.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…446bbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed No | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 69c | 24.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0b62backed Yes | 74c | 23.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fc…2115backed No | 71c | 22.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…c83fbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…b5b5backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 70c | 19.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…dec3backed No | 69c | 19.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje won
- Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.