UFC · resolved market
Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf958c19a66de29fbef70363031b07aeee77a636795534a44d2c190aab749feae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 34,932$26,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,630.42 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 25c | 15,720$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 25c | 8,237$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 77c | 6,307$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.21 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…46b2backed Yes | 25c | 3,620$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 77c | 2,805$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.98 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 78c | 2,765$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.41 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Yes | 24c | 2,707$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 25c | 2,012$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 75c | 1,351$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.67 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked No | 78c | 1,280$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 78c | 1,277$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.38 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 78c | 1,268$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.84 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,227$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 45cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 80c | 1,011$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.23 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,003$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…7f92backed Yes | 24c | 923.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…66c9backed Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…51aabacked Yes | 22c | 664.07$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…6ea2backed Yes | 22c | 613.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…ad99backed Yes | 25c | 600.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 75c | 509.97$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3f…ae42backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551f…0cefbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…5d3fbacked Yes | 23c | 439.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…1bb1backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 27c | 407.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…04e2backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…40e1backed Yes | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…f7f9backed Yes | 22c | 350$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dd…903fbacked Yes | 72c | 345.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…69e4backed Yes | 21c | 343.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 78c | 339.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…f337backed Yes | 24c | 334.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e6…6707backed Yes | 21c | 328.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…4f9ebacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…9759backed Yes | 23c | 288$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…d679backed Yes | 23c | 270.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 24c | 267.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb7…343cbacked Yes | 22c | 256.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe014…f0f9backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…8709backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Yes | 23c | 220.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c0…c158backed Yes | 50c | 219.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…78ebbacked Yes | 25c | 212$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…4c2ebacked Yes | 25c | 203.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Yes | 25c | 201.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ba…bb9ebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…b7aebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…6763backed Yes | 22c | 198.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Yes | 25c | 196.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…e8aabacked Yes | 25c | 193.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…5124backed Yes | 24c | 192.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked No | 57c | 178$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 22c | 176.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…08d2backed Yes | 25c | 175.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…4199backed Yes | 24c | 172.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…6bc9backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…e1f5backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…e77cbacked Yes | 22c | 151.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 50c | 150.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 26c | 146.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…cef3backed Yes | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…6d37backed Yes | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…5b71backed Yes | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…1ef5backed Yes | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 22c | 122.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…c851backed Yes | 25c | 122$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb35…2e23backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…667bbacked Yes | 44c | 116.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…0f18backed Yes | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Yes | 21c | 109$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…436fbacked Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…43f8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…94cabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…c515backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…1445backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…4020backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…ec0ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…ed3cbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aac…b8e2backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…fcc5backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…a311backed Yes | 21c | 95.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…57e1backed Yes | 22c | 92.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Yes | 22c | 86.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…1f2bbacked Yes | 22c | 84.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee4…3337backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje won
- Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.