Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Most Wanted (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f0bd2c525ca74aee5d82c5bafe6fab7c0b8985eb8de8551ef48f1314cbe1ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalmychataof Kalmychata, Most Wanted
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb569…5695backed Kalmychata | 69c | 2,161$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.72 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Most Wanted | 22c | 2,000$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.79 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Most Wanted | 28c | 1,929$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Kalmychata | 65c | 1,572$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.09 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Kalmychata | 61c | 1,526$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.58 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Most Wanted | 22c | 1,482$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.28 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Most Wanted | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Kalmychata | 61c | 737.08$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.88 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Most Wanted | 26c | 658.15$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Most Wanted | 42c | 599.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Kalmychata | 60c | 557.74$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Most Wanted | 36c | 537.74$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Kalmychata | 73c | 530$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Most Wanted | 33c | 527.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Most Wanted | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Most Wanted | 31c | 519.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Most Wanted | 43c | 468.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Most Wanted | 42c | 445.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Kalmychata | 67c | 416.46$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Most Wanted | 34c | 386.9$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…bf01backed Kalmychata | 78c | 359.56$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Most Wanted | 31c | 335$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Most Wanted | 46c | 302.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Most Wanted | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…b94cbacked Kalmychata | 72c | 278.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Most Wanted | 30c | 265.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Kalmychata | 52c | 249.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Most Wanted | 8c | 240$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Most Wanted | 55c | 223.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Most Wanted | 38c | 220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Most Wanted | 41c | 207.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed Most Wanted | 35c | 205.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Most Wanted | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Most Wanted | 40c | 199.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Kalmychata | 58c | 196.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Most Wanted | 14c | 195.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7872…fcfcbacked Most Wanted | 13c | 167.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Kalmychata | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Kalmychata | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…7442backed Kalmychata | 68c | 147.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Most Wanted | 22c | 137.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Most Wanted | 37c | 131.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Most Wanted | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Kalmychata | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Kalmychata | 74c | 117.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Most Wanted | 33c | 115.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Most Wanted | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Most Wanted | 38c | 105.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Kalmychata | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1deebacked Most Wanted | 33c | 86.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Most Wanted | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ab…8ae4backed Kalmychata | 72c | 71.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Most Wanted | 39c | 69.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kalmychata | 79c | 69.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a8…0725backed Kalmychata | 58c | 61.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…6878backed Kalmychata | 79c | 60.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…4923backed Most Wanted | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc855…0eebbacked Kalmychata | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Most Wanted | 39c | 52.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Most Wanted | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…28e6backed Most Wanted | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ba…7c0fbacked Kalmychata | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…a74ebacked Kalmychata | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Most Wanted | 37c | 49.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…ab94backed Most Wanted | 26c | 48.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…6c18backed Most Wanted | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Most Wanted | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…75debacked Most Wanted | 48c | 40.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Kalmychata | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…065abacked Kalmychata | 55c | 35.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…ce08backed Kalmychata | 57c | 34.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Kalmychata | 57c | 34.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Kalmychata | 57c | 34.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4280…cb8cbacked Kalmychata | 58c | 33.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…4ee4backed Kalmychata | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Most Wanted | 37c | 32.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Kalmychata | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Kalmychata | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18eb…ccaabacked Kalmychata | 67c | 29.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52d…6ddebacked Kalmychata | 67c | 29.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Most Wanted | 37c | 29.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Kalmychata | 78c | 28.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ae…5b01backed Kalmychata | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…a826backed Kalmychata | 60c | 24.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed Most Wanted | 43c | 23.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Most Wanted | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Kalmychata | 56c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked Kalmychata | 66c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Kalmychata | 62c | 17.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Most Wanted (BO5)this page
- Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Most Wanted - Game 1 WinnerKalmychata won
- Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Most Wanted - Game 2 WinnerKalmychata won
- Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Most Wanted - Game 3 WinnerMost Wanted won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.