Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1b93ac9fbf3f68ddfd3854f8c9640a36c3cdabeceec045a3333b73ddf1241e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Jannik Sinner, Sebastian Ofner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Sebastian Ofner | 1c | 23,663$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 21,410$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.41 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 18,089$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.06 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…fa36backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 12,000$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 9,520$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +450.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…81c2backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 5,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…b6b2backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 4,327$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…23c6backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 4,227$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sebastian Ofner | 1c | 4,191$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 4,160$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 3,500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 3,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…d958backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 3,058$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 3,022$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Sebastian Ofner | 1c | 2,939$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 2,938$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Sebastian Ofner | 0c | 2,900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sebastian Ofner | 1c | 2,702$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 2,374$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 1,948$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Sebastian Ofner | 1c | 1,574$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 1,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 1,108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 1,075$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 1,030$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 991.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 40.4%55 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 944.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 915$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 889.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 580$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 560.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 454.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…eea1backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 379.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofnerthis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Sebastian Ofner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Sinner vs. Ofner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.