TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
megoshortof FUT Academy, megoshort
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e34…4480backed FUT Academy1c31,156$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1449935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed megoshort71c27,674$19,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,910.5157647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f41…2861backed FUT Academy0c14,967$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb94f…04d8backed FUT Academy0c6,444$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked FUT Academy28c5,300$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.0634147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Academy16c5,260$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.483,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FUT Academy24c4,619$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.5159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed FUT Academy26c4,500$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked FUT Academy19c3,705$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.39141.8%38 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed FUT Academy28c3,205$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.43545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb0…a15cbacked FUT Academy6c3,156$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8770%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked FUT Academy32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7e8…e418backed FUT Academy25c2,271$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed FUT Academy30c2,100$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.0726344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked FUT Academy23c1,795$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5522754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked FUT Academy33c1,191$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5529855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked FUT Academy31c1,112$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.314938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed megoshort79c1,046$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1341850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed FUT Academy32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3209442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed FUT Academy15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed megoshort69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31016449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed megoshort62c964.55$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.5511746.2%54 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed FUT Academy32c939.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003540%14 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df4…0287backed megoshort73c892.61$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked FUT Academy32c859.4$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.011,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked megoshort74c806.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.471573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FUT Academy31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21797040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked megoshort69c588.41$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.412161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FUT Academy18c568.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.782,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked FUT Academy31c520.45$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7426553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked FUT Academy27c486.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0848242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked FUT Academy12c476.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.615973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked FUT Academy28c466.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4918336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed megoshort69c428.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.993754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed megoshort72c418.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8913461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed FUT Academy28c417.3$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4616450.6%83 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed FUT Academy30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c3…2149backed FUT Academy28c396.43$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b59…232fbacked megoshort67c386.24$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.071163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed FUT Academy27c344.1$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9615151.7%78 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed FUT Academy25c339.88$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9710529.5%31 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked FUT Academy28c339.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9523952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked FUT Academy14c307.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.125149%25 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed megoshort66c303.05$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.212944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2521…7f2bbacked FUT Academy10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed FUT Academy18c286.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.721,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed FUT Academy28c280$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.432844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed FUT Academy17c276.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.14837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked FUT Academy47c263.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255350.9%27 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked megoshort63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.12445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked FUT Academy16c220.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0766034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed FUT Academy21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db5…497dbacked FUT Academy15c199.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed FUT Academy32c192.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.473847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked megoshort61c183.2$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.453,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked megoshort77c155.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9610450%52 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed FUT Academy28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed FUT Academy18c124.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7621139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed FUT Academy27c124$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.483644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa6…f3b0backed FUT Academy15c105.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.613675%102 W · 34 L+22.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked FUT Academy49c101.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509938.4%38 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec6a…c3d8backed megoshort68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked megoshort79c97.37$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed megoshort71c92.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9698856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked FUT Academy34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked megoshort63c83.4$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.231,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…a852backed megoshort65c69.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.472157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a60…a571backed FUT Academy32c67.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.423925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked FUT Academy32c65.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1295642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac9…7f8bbacked FUT Academy16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…a74ebacked FUT Academy28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed megoshort68c47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.041747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed FUT Academy45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021137.4%79 W · 132 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked megoshort72c41.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.811154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Academy39c39.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.555,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked FUT Academy32c36.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.785543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a85…f0c7backed megoshort68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed megoshort63c32.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1815347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c0…aa93backed megoshort67c22.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163f…ab55backed megoshort70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51bd…72a9backed megoshort62c16.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.