CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bab81c146cd1711328e9e6462164b9987002fc1d108012d332a6bc3356a7613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof FUT Academy, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked megoshort | 69c | 2,000$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed FUT Academy | 46c | 1,077$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked FUT Academy | 30c | 717.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.63 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked FUT Academy | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed megoshort | 70c | 532$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked megoshort | 60c | 526.85$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.86 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5a59backed FUT Academy | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked FUT Academy | 46c | 438.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Academy | 29c | 390.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed FUT Academy | 29c | 373.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked megoshort | 57c | 283.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed megoshort | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked FUT Academy | 37c | 171.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…4a9cbacked FUT Academy | 45c | 142.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked FUT Academy | 20c | 139.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed megoshort | 75c | 100.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed FUT Academy | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…a6b5backed megoshort | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked megoshort | 72c | 96.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked megoshort | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked megoshort | 63c | 53.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FUT Academy | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed megoshort | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Academy | 37c | 48.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…f18ebacked FUT Academy | 47c | 47.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed megoshort | 74c | 25.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed megoshort | 73c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked megoshort | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort (BO3)megoshort won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.