Cricket · resolved market
ILT20: Gulf Giants vs Abu Dhabi Knight Riders (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf277ff6eb0a53e28aac5d750a8111eff5401e32b27da6068c0023b962ebb680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abu Dhabi Knight Ridersof Gulf Giants, Abu Dhabi Knight Riders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gulf Giants | 1c | 3,778$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Gulf Giants | 20c | 995$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 80c | 932.7$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gulf Giants | 18c | 824.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 56c | 544.51$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.62 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Gulf Giants | 45c | 368.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Gulf Giants | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gulf Giants | 11c | 272.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 71c | 221.31$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Gulf Giants | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Gulf Giants | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Gulf Giants | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…0505backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 58c | 138.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Gulf Giants | 22c | 124.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Gulf Giants | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed Gulf Giants | 11c | 96.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Gulf Giants | 43c | 88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gulf Giants | 47c | 52.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc26…0fd0backed Gulf Giants | 35c | 40.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…5cc1backed Gulf Giants | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 53c | 38.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…199dbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 55c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 57c | 21.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.