CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs FOKUS (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab8077555b882995c391aa9ce0b1e744e0ea9514624f2fe3456be10d7b00a4f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Misa Esports, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Misa Esports | 4c | 13,942$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.79 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…1588backed Misa Esports | 2c | 5,976$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +581.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Misa Esports | 7c | 4,857$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Misa Esports | 1c | 4,559$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Misa Esports | 13c | 4,124$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.01 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Misa Esports | 3c | 2,600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Misa Esports | 1c | 2,180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Misa Esports | 3c | 2,086$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Misa Esports | 1c | 1,831$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Misa Esports | 26c | 1,600$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.7 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked FOKUS | 38c | 1,518$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.55 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Misa Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Misa Esports | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Misa Esports | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Misa Esports | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked FOKUS | 71c | 430$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Misa Esports | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Misa Esports | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Misa Esports | 5c | 331.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked Misa Esports | 65c | 292.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Misa Esports | 66c | 215.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 211.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Misa Esports | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed Misa Esports | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 152$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 126.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FOKUS | 34c | 108.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Misa Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed FOKUS | 36c | 79.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Misa Esports | 17c | 67.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Misa Esports | 64c | 59.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Misa Esports | 62c | 35.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be9…40cbbacked Misa Esports | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs FOKUS (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.