CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3048840906ee9793db621b8078a32b20a37d30cfe6865fc18bb347472171defd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team CS2NEWSof Team Shadowkek, Team CS2NEWS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c90…1775backed Team Shadowkek | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Shadowkek | 34c | 3,124$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.22 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team CS2NEWS | 65c | 2,460$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.74 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Team CS2NEWS | 79c | 2,205$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.02 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…fcd6backed Team Shadowkek | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Team Shadowkek | 3c | 1,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…1558backed Team CS2NEWS | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team CS2NEWS | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked Team Shadowkek | 62c | 498.79$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…9200backed Team CS2NEWS | 69c | 458.62$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…0b5cbacked Team Shadowkek | 65c | 420$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Team CS2NEWS | 72c | 416.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Team Shadowkek | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…e1d6backed Team Shadowkek | 48c | 375.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…2bb3backed Team Shadowkek | 63c | 364.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +131%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team CS2NEWS | 36c | 363.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.76 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Shadowkek | 58c | 342.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…5c2ebacked Team Shadowkek | 31c | 338.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Team Shadowkek | 60c | 335.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…34c9backed Team Shadowkek | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Team CS2NEWS | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Team CS2NEWS | 70c | 287.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…4e7cbacked Team Shadowkek | 65c | 280$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…3600backed Team CS2NEWS | 67c | 254.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Shadowkek | 42c | 246.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Shadowkek | 29c | 229.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed Team CS2NEWS | 73c | 227.72$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…d901backed Team Shadowkek | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Team Shadowkek | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Team CS2NEWS | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Team Shadowkek | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Team Shadowkek | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…e530backed Team CS2NEWS | 61c | 197.52$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team Shadowkek | 39c | 185.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Team Shadowkek | 50c | 170.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bf…6bfcbacked Team CS2NEWS | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Team CS2NEWS | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Team CS2NEWS | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Team CS2NEWS | 49c | 125.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Team Shadowkek | 48c | 119.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Team CS2NEWS | 62c | 117.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team CS2NEWS | 62c | 116.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a68abacked Team Shadowkek | 40c | 107.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Team Shadowkek | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…497dbacked Team Shadowkek | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Team CS2NEWS | 42c | 72.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Team CS2NEWS | 64c | 62.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Team CS2NEWS | 53c | 54.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…8a38backed Team CS2NEWS | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Team Shadowkek | 38c | 49.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Team Shadowkek | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Team Shadowkek | 31c | 43.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Team CS2NEWS | 34c | 34.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Team CS2NEWS | 57c | 33.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Shadowkek | 63c | 31.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Team CS2NEWS | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…d06cbacked Team CS2NEWS | 55c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2473…4cd4backed Team CS2NEWS | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Team Shadowkek | 66c | 21.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed Team CS2NEWS | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…d60dbacked Team Shadowkek | 66c | 18.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b69…6717backed Team Shadowkek | 70c | 14.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Team CS2NEWS | 80c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS - Map 1 WinnerTeam CS2NEWS won
- Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS - Map 2 WinnerTeam CS2NEWS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.