CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x025a16a974da96f26b40e11d010c8fa7fc481a702f6f5288a1cd5a57cf034892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team busterof Team Shadowkek, Team buster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Team Shadowkek | 11c | 1,500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Team buster | 68c | 1,300$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.76 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team buster | 34c | 976.18$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.95 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c277backed Team Shadowkek | 60c | 638$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team buster | 36c | 587.95$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.29 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Team Shadowkek | 66c | 440.63$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Shadowkek | 4c | 430$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Team buster | 75c | 412.19$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Team Shadowkek | 59c | 371.06$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…d906backed Team Shadowkek | 72c | 348.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Team buster | 72c | 325.01$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…0118backed Team buster | 73c | 309.12$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Team Shadowkek | 62c | 283.87$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Shadowkek | 41c | 266.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Shadowkek | 22c | 229.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Team Shadowkek | 15c | 225.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Team Shadowkek | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Team Shadowkek | 52c | 199.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Shadowkek | 58c | 175.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Shadowkek | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team buster | 52c | 150.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Team Shadowkek | 58c | 128$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…4ca9backed Team buster | 78c | 126.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Team buster | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team buster | 53c | 114.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Team buster | 51c | 112.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Team Shadowkek | 17c | 109.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Team Shadowkek | 29c | 103.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Shadowkek | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Team buster | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Shadowkek | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Team Shadowkek | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Team buster | 36c | 86.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d69…18b5backed Team Shadowkek | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Team Shadowkek | 51c | 65.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…261dbacked Team Shadowkek | 64c | 64.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Team buster | 44c | 63.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Team Shadowkek | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9f…7482backed Team Shadowkek | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Team buster | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…8e89backed Team Shadowkek | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Team Shadowkek | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Team buster | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Team buster | 59c | 34.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Team buster | 44c | 33.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b35…01d0backed Team buster | 44c | 33.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Shadowkek | 41c | 33.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be9…40cbbacked Team buster | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Team Shadowkek | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Team buster | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…409fbacked Team buster | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Team buster | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Team Shadowkek | 63c | 19.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked Team buster | 57c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…e6c9backed Team buster | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster - Map 1 WinnerTeam buster won
- Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster - Map 2 WinnerTeam Shadowkek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.