UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a026b9da4d2f152f3f08419f5876f31e92ee03a15374e5739146d9b16848b5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brando Pericicof Shamil Gaziev, Brando Pericic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Shamil Gaziev | 49c | 97,769$47,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,694.2 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Brando Pericic | 51c | 71,548$36,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,998.89 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Shamil Gaziev | 50c | 70,176$35,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,389.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Shamil Gaziev | 50c | 52,628$26,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,313.79 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Brando Pericic | 50c | 41,647$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,647.06 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Brando Pericic | 49c | 29,014$14,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,653.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Shamil Gaziev | 52c | 25,038$13,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,006.03 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 24,460$12,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,271.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brando Pericic | 48c | 19,865$9,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,329.85 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Shamil Gaziev | 46c | 13,527$6,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,222.33 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff83…23bebacked Shamil Gaziev | 0c | 10,584$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Brando Pericic | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Brando Pericic | 53c | 8,081$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.48 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Shamil Gaziev | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Brando Pericic | 52c | 6,900$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Brando Pericic | 54c | 6,666$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.35 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Brando Pericic | 51c | 6,593$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Shamil Gaziev | 33c | 5,137$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.03 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Brando Pericic | 49c | 4,816$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Brando Pericic | 49c | 4,258$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.89 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Brando Pericic | 70c | 3,542$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.19 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 3,532$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.35 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Brando Pericic | 49c | 3,340$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.4 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Shamil Gaziev | 27c | 3,130$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.95 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Shamil Gaziev | 49c | 2,920$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.34 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 2,797$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.53 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Brando Pericic | 68c | 2,754$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Brando Pericic | 47c | 2,496$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Brando Pericic | 49c | 2,461$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.84 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Brando Pericic | 49c | 2,440$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Brando Pericic | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Shamil Gaziev | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Shamil Gaziev | 45c | 2,017$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Brando Pericic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed Shamil Gaziev | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Brando Pericic | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…e7c6backed Brando Pericic | 65c | 1,952$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Shamil Gaziev | 51c | 1,950$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.5 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Shamil Gaziev | 52c | 1,928$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…0eecbacked Brando Pericic | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Brando Pericic | 49c | 1,769$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.22 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brando Pericic | 53c | 1,727$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.78 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Brando Pericic | 60c | 1,629$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.66 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Brando Pericic | 49c | 1,608$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.21 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brando Pericic | 52c | 1,524$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.44 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shamil Gaziev | 48c | 1,489$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.4 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Brando Pericic | 70c | 1,437$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.34 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Shamil Gaziev | 52c | 1,353$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Shamil Gaziev | 44c | 1,271$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Brando Pericic | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Shamil Gaziev | 45c | 1,075$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.75 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 1,034$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.93 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Brando Pericic | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked Shamil Gaziev | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Shamil Gaziev | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Brando Pericic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Brando Pericic | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Brando Pericic | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 990$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Brando Pericic | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…1afebacked Shamil Gaziev | 35c | 850.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 824$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 795.4$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Brando Pericic | 55c | 721$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Brando Pericic | 50c | 705.52$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.76 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…32c0backed Brando Pericic | 49c | 679$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.29 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Shamil Gaziev | 49c | 670.56$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed Shamil Gaziev | 45c | 667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 648.63$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.88 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Brando Pericic | 65c | 600$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.01 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Shamil Gaziev | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Brando Pericic | 51c | 565.84$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…5067backed Brando Pericic | 55c | 549.98$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Shamil Gaziev | 45c | 524.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brando Pericic | 50c | 507.61$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.81 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 506$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Brando Pericic | 54c | 500$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Shamil Gaziev | 57c | 500$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.19 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Shamil Gaziev | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Brando Pericic | 49c | 499.88$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Brando Pericic | 51c | 488.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Shamil Gaziev | 44c | 456.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Shamil Gaziev | 42c | 455.09$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Shamil Gaziev | 47c | 428.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Shamil Gaziev | 47c | 428.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Brando Pericic | 52c | 417.23$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Brando Pericic | 58c | 409.49$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.51 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Brando Pericic | 50c | 405.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…d737backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…27e7backed Shamil Gaziev | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Brando Pericic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Brando Pericic | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Brando Pericic | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Brando Pericic | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Brando Pericic | 64c | 395.05$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Shamil Gaziev | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Shamil Gaziev | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Brando Pericic | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Brando Pericic win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.