TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mackenzie McDonald vs Christopher O'Connell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mackenzie McDonaldof Mackenzie McDonald, Christopher O'Connell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Christopher O'Connell54c5,568$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mackenzie McDonald64c5,400$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.838,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Christopher O'Connell24c4,108$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98630642.2%129 W · 177 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Christopher O'Connell22c1,700$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36747728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Christopher O'Connell57c1,609$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.9811149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed Mackenzie McDonald45c1,451$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.089340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mackenzie McDonald68c1,412$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Christopher O'Connell42c1,288$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.851,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Mackenzie McDonald64c1,103$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.212,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Christopher O'Connell39c1,103$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Christopher O'Connell38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9932735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mackenzie McDonald47c997.17$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.59,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Christopher O'Connell52c966$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.334,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Christopher O'Connell37c898.62$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.4971725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Mackenzie McDonald80c897.68$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.451,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mackenzie McDonald42c711.77$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.992,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Mackenzie McDonald54c588.35$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.813,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Christopher O'Connell12c567.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.431,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Christopher O'Connell58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Mackenzie McDonald51c442.23$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7148152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Mackenzie McDonald44c354.49$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.511,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Christopher O'Connell28c345.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.852,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Mackenzie McDonald43c329$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.531,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Mackenzie McDonald43c325.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.581,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Christopher O'Connell58c322.58$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.034,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked Christopher O'Connell58c299.95$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.977042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Christopher O'Connell41c291.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12085348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mackenzie McDonald43c269.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.21,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Christopher O'Connell57c239.34$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.473,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mackenzie McDonald42c209.48$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.55,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Mackenzie McDonald42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1162,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mackenzie McDonald45c199.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Mackenzie McDonald52c189.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.381,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Christopher O'Connell59c188.14$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Christopher O'Connell57c188.1$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2235747.9%171 W · 186 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Christopher O'Connell57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Mackenzie McDonald75c171.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3647274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Christopher O'Connell30c147.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.012,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Christopher O'Connell21c130.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.92,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mackenzie McDonald74c120.14$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.146,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Christopher O'Connell54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.822246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…9a2fbacked Christopher O'Connell21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-54.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Mackenzie McDonald43c118$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2619634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Mackenzie McDonald44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.272,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Christopher O'Connell32c101.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.48,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f06…abe1backed Christopher O'Connell20c101.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013330.1%40 W · 93 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Christopher O'Connell55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Christopher O'Connell43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4333134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff5a…af9fbacked Mackenzie McDonald43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Mackenzie McDonald65c93.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.841,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Mackenzie McDonald43c92.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.711,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Mackenzie McDonald43c90.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.821,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Christopher O'Connell57c86.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2170456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mackenzie McDonald46c85.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.611,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Mackenzie McDonald42c85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.396755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Mackenzie McDonald53c80.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2759253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Christopher O'Connell26c79.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6336545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Christopher O'Connell39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Christopher O'Connell27c76.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.572,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Christopher O'Connell58c75.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4424945.4%113 W · 136 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Christopher O'Connell57c75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7510965.1%71 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Christopher O'Connell19c63.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.841,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Mackenzie McDonald71c49.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Christopher O'Connell54c45.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Mackenzie McDonald42c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3630436.8%112 W · 192 L-19.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99ad…064ebacked Christopher O'Connell59c38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4215445.5%70 W · 84 L-16.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Mackenzie McDonald42c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.461,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Mackenzie McDonald57c35.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.411,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Christopher O'Connell58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Christopher O'Connell58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd436…18a9backed Mackenzie McDonald78c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1412550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mackenzie McDonald79c31.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.472,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82e2…a4c9backed Christopher O'Connell59c30.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Mackenzie McDonald41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.783447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365a…2970backed Mackenzie McDonald43c27.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Mackenzie McDonald56c27.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1887060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Mackenzie McDonald70c25.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.532,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Mackenzie McDonald78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.56569.2%45 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Mackenzie McDonald43c24.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2643952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Mackenzie McDonald79c19.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.151,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8318…34a6backed Mackenzie McDonald80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.810032%32 W · 68 L-30.3wins-0.30per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight23-0.24 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Christopher O'Connell57c18.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.284,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9690…1ed2backed Mackenzie McDonald78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.283278.1%25 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.