Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdd8ab4614b6f4a1a6c4e75cf5a3e9a98ec494d84c37ac53b9de83ae4501383a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 59c | 3,186$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.71 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Under | 37c | 2,324$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 1,417$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.29 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 1,069$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.16 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 35c | 988.42$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 69c | 901.18$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 31c | 875.73$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.23 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 59c | 539.83$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 60c | 480$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 47c | 363.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 5c | 332.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 247.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Under | 48c | 207.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…6f28backed Under | 54c | 204.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 77c | 194.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 76c | 170$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 45c | 156.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 66c | 151.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 148.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 75c | 130$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 39c | 129.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…5914backed Under | 64c | 96.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 76c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 66c | 92.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 39c | 86.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…fb93backed Over | 25c | 80.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 76c | 79.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 22c | 79.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under | 74c | 57.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 57.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 38c | 51.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 76c | 39.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 37.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over | 52c | 29.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under | 78c | 29.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 48c | 28.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 55c | 25.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Under | 76c | 21.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 77c | 16.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed Under | 73c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.