Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde3c04261ec5f09490397b6f92f35fa871f5e64ab3edca9e7e817cd4e542cf1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Over | 67c | 15,429$10,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,091.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 33c | 2,375$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.47 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 24c | 1,484$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.83 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 1,318$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.41 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 8c | 950$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 33c | 299.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 37c | 177.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 65c | 162.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 62c | 113.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 66c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 66c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 36c | 47.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…6f8abacked Over | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Under | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Under | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Under | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Over | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Over | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…1596backed Over | 67c | 30.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…ffb3backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…76bfbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 25.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 65c | 25.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 67c | 23.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Over | 67c | 22.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Over | 72c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.