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Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Zverevof Benjamin Bonzi, Alexander Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$449,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Benjamin Bonzi4c40,363$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.521,70950.6%864 W · 845 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Benjamin Bonzi2c34,878$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.7823731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Benjamin Bonzi6c29,913$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.217953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Benjamin Bonzi4c20,404$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.0618315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Benjamin Bonzi5c18,250$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.1116133.5%54 W · 107 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Benjamin Bonzi4c8,774$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.962,25537.1%836 W · 1,419 L+43.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Benjamin Bonzi4c7,131$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.383,77642.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L-44.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Benjamin Bonzi4c7,085$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7712322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Benjamin Bonzi5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Benjamin Bonzi4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Benjamin Bonzi5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Benjamin Bonzi3c5,000$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14544018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Benjamin Bonzi5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.997135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Benjamin Bonzi5c4,955$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.291,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Benjamin Bonzi5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Benjamin Bonzi5c3,909$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8379440.7%323 W · 471 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Benjamin Bonzi1c3,893$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.212,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked Benjamin Bonzi6c3,358$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Benjamin Bonzi2c3,118$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.119,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Benjamin Bonzi1c2,820$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-69.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Benjamin Bonzi4c2,739$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5779136%285 W · 506 L+36.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfee…67b9backed Benjamin Bonzi1c2,251$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Benjamin Bonzi4c2,246$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.654834.3%188 W · 360 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Benjamin Bonzi5c2,186$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.013,75245.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Benjamin Bonzi5c2,099$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9522821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa90a…63e0backed Benjamin Bonzi5c2,010$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Benjamin Bonzi4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804533.3%15 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Benjamin Bonzi5c1,947$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3525828.3%73 W · 185 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…5124backed Benjamin Bonzi4c1,909$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.293026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Benjamin Bonzi5c1,811$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.713,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Benjamin Bonzi4c1,585$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.341,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Benjamin Bonzi5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757512%9 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Benjamin Bonzi5c1,480$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Benjamin Bonzi4c1,397$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.957827.3%158 W · 420 L+23.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Benjamin Bonzi7c1,338$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9438911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Benjamin Bonzi4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,45428.5%414 W · 1,040 L+2.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Benjamin Bonzi5c1,240$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0274353%394 W · 349 L+37.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Benjamin Bonzi4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033951.3%174 W · 165 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Benjamin Bonzi4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Benjamin Bonzi5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Benjamin Bonzi4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Benjamin Bonzi4c946.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.452,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Benjamin Bonzi5c899.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4514933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Benjamin Bonzi6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Benjamin Bonzi6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e8…b293backed Benjamin Bonzi5c822.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020337.9%77 W · 126 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Benjamin Bonzi4c800$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325,37728.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L-20.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Benjamin Bonzi5c779.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.665,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Benjamin Bonzi3c731.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6170929.1%206 W · 503 L+0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Benjamin Bonzi5c653.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.691,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…eb15backed Benjamin Bonzi5c580$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296437.5%24 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Benjamin Bonzi5c500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Benjamin Bonzi6c440$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.464637.2%240 W · 406 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Benjamin Bonzi3c436.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.961,01239.1%396 W · 616 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e3…b275backed Benjamin Bonzi6c415.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Benjamin Bonzi4c412$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4895140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6075…2f82backed Benjamin Bonzi5c352.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6513944.6%62 W · 77 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Benjamin Bonzi6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066350.2%333 W · 330 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Benjamin Bonzi5c332.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7514813.5%20 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2d1…f8c0backed Benjamin Bonzi5c299.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0a…629dbacked Benjamin Bonzi4c251.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Benjamin Bonzi4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Benjamin Bonzi5c223$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1519634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…e910backed Benjamin Bonzi5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-66.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda23…89efbacked Benjamin Bonzi5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick28cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Benjamin Bonzi5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,35646.5%1,096 W · 1,260 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ec…eed4backed Benjamin Bonzi5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a311backed Benjamin Bonzi6c180.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8511735.9%42 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.