CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x654c0a83dbbfe361373813646dc1c7e9f99867d7fd95bc576a88489488f0da05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MANA eSports | 58c | 10,077$5,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.29 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked megoshort | 7c | 6,154$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked megoshort | 36c | 4,254$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.69 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed megoshort | 46c | 3,143$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed megoshort | 47c | 2,809$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked megoshort | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…0308backed MANA eSports | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed megoshort | 20c | 1,764$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.82 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed MANA eSports | 70c | 1,650$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14febacked megoshort | 41c | 1,536$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed megoshort | 1c | 1,486$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…b7cfbacked megoshort | 41c | 1,374$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked megoshort | 18c | 1,248$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed megoshort | 42c | 1,239$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.1 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed MANA eSports | 77c | 1,170$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked megoshort | 45c | 1,114$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked MANA eSports | 52c | 1,041$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.79 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…fdb2backed megoshort | 40c | 1,029$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked megoshort | 4c | 1,026$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…300fbacked megoshort | 42c | 954.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…5d15backed MANA eSports | 59c | 917$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked MANA eSports | 53c | 910$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06e…7f1cbacked MANA eSports | 59c | 907$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…0b9abacked megoshort | 39c | 906$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…5983backed megoshort | 40c | 862$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…4c5dbacked megoshort | 41c | 761$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…2284backed megoshort | 40c | 751$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…ae03backed megoshort | 41c | 741$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked megoshort | 48c | 648.66$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked megoshort | 42c | 643.34$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.77 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…f2a3backed MANA eSports | 59c | 629$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed megoshort | 42c | 608.28$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.48 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed megoshort | 45c | 552$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed MANA eSports | 77c | 540.96$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…412ebacked MANA eSports | 60c | 540$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed megoshort | 42c | 500.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…6c8ebacked megoshort | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed megoshort | 14c | 489.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…0784backed MANA eSports | 60c | 489$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MANA eSports | 54c | 482.52$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.96 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed megoshort | 3c | 472.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…de5bbacked MANA eSports | 61c | 471$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…b7b5backed MANA eSports | 60c | 469$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…cf57backed MANA eSports | 59c | 457$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked megoshort | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…bfb9backed MANA eSports | 59c | 450$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked megoshort | 4c | 444.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…a023backed MANA eSports | 60c | 436$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…effcbacked MANA eSports | 61c | 435$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…85cebacked MANA eSports | 59c | 434$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…55aebacked MANA eSports | 60c | 431.6$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4f…9339backed MANA eSports | 60c | 426$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc544…3c93backed MANA eSports | 79c | 408.22$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6f…084bbacked megoshort | 44c | 375.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed megoshort | 41c | 367.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked megoshort | 44c | 341$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed MANA eSports | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed megoshort | 22c | 337.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…a23dbacked megoshort | 45c | 311$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…f52cbacked MANA eSports | 56c | 311$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…ae21backed MANA eSports | 59c | 311$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…2a82backed MANA eSports | 59c | 307$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked MANA eSports | 75c | 301.93$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…94abbacked MANA eSports | 60c | 282$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MANA eSports | 54c | 270$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed megoshort | 22c | 261.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed megoshort | 44c | 256.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked MANA eSports | 60c | 247.23$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed MANA eSports | 60c | 240$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed megoshort | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed MANA eSports | 20c | 230.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MANA eSports | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked MANA eSports | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked megoshort | 38c | 164.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed MANA eSports | 65c | 162.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked megoshort | 41c | 159$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked MANA eSports | 69c | 153.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked megoshort | 41c | 151.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed MANA eSports | 59c | 143.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed megoshort | 35c | 143.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MANA eSports | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…4a9cbacked MANA eSports | 59c | 119.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked megoshort | 36c | 117.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked MANA eSports | 75c | 107.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked megoshort | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked megoshort | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed MANA eSports | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed MANA eSports | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked megoshort | 28c | 84.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…8f0bbacked megoshort | 44c | 71.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…83c6backed MANA eSports | 55c | 69.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed megoshort | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed MANA eSports | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked megoshort | 46c | 65.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked megoshort | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…6bbabacked megoshort | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked megoshort | 24c | 54.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…2045backed megoshort | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked MANA eSports | 60c | 51.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked MANA eSports | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.