CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2c9ff90b7196de327ee0a4f8d6300b85a9a80bd78422bd78b78d5923c02d43d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed megoshort | 60c | 2,382$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.04 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked MANA eSports | 79c | 1,908$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked megoshort | 1c | 1,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed MANA eSports | 79c | 1,390$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed megoshort | 46c | 1,142$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.14 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed MANA eSports | 38c | 1,118$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.62 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked MANA eSports | 54c | 926.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.2 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed megoshort | 63c | 889.34$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.73 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed megoshort | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed megoshort | 53c | 471.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MANA eSports | 17c | 406.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.55 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed MANA eSports | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MANA eSports | 46c | 362.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed megoshort | 45c | 261$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.40per pick | 42cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed megoshort | 41c | 241$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…e02abacked MANA eSports | 25c | 238.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +298.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed MANA eSports | 28c | 224.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…519ebacked MANA eSports | 38c | 201$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed MANA eSports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed megoshort | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed MANA eSports | 54c | 193.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed megoshort | 60c | 167.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked MANA eSports | 43c | 160.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed megoshort | 41c | 141$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…6b0abacked MANA eSports | 28c | 135.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked MANA eSports | 39c | 133.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MANA eSports | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked megoshort | 50c | 114.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MANA eSports | 33c | 106.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked megoshort | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked megoshort | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked megoshort | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed MANA eSports | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed megoshort | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MANA eSports | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed megoshort | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed megoshort | 45c | 87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked megoshort | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked megoshort | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed MANA eSports | 53c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed megoshort | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked MANA eSports | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked megoshort | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked MANA eSports | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed MANA eSports | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked MANA eSports | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed MANA eSports | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed MANA eSports | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed MANA eSports | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked MANA eSports | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked MANA eSports | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed MANA eSports | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed MANA eSports | 60c | 41.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked MANA eSports | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed megoshort | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked MANA eSports | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed MANA eSports | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed MANA eSports | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed MANA eSports | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked MANA eSports | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…3f4cbacked MANA eSports | 67c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed megoshort | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…d6bebacked MANA eSports | 42c | 31.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked megoshort | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked MANA eSports | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed MANA eSports | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed MANA eSports | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed MANA eSports | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked MANA eSports | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed MANA eSports | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed MANA eSports | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed MANA eSports | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed MANA eSports | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed MANA eSports | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed MANA eSports | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed MANA eSports | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked MANA eSports | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed MANA eSports | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MANA eSports | 78c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.