TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No52c33,856$17,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,604.8710450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c29,553$20,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,619.424,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Yes49c20,271$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,270.942070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes48c16,803$8,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,737.513744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes25c8,252$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,205.7356439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c7,975$4,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,220.971,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes30c5,889$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,131.921322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes9c5,364$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,879.982222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+122.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes39c4,863$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.3210948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes62c3,788$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.193,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No66c3,700$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.614837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes33c3,581$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.4523727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.222365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c2,773$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.5449447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes40c2,687$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.252330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes47c2,646$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.3815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes47c2,553$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.196550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes47c2,366$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.984042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes40c2,135$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.5612823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes47c2,035$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.4619840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.973548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes28c1,765$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.065955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c1,666$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3725872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes47c1,590$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.2820843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes21c1,429$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.575250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes48c1,362$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.2310245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62411566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes43c1,173$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.798343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c1,154$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.71,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No28c1,094$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4115150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.832927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No45c1,046$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.127554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes65c1,046$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.2113658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Yes39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.643650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes47c1,021$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.281827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No53c999.97$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9911258%65 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6af5…992abacked Yes8c937.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.52623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No17c935.4$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.673754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c915.22$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.5458548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes46c900$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4861764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes48c900$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4689751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.062842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No49c826.04$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4824344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes44c811.77$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.5833734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes48c806.28$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.2711333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No54c759.8$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.836360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No53c754.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.131414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.6wins-0.40per pick55cpaid-73.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes48c707.02$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.654766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes51c588.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.432254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccda…21f3backed Yes48c572.92$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.925442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes40c544.08$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8913243.2%57 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No10c532$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.174119.5%8 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes22c528.88$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.6410834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes11c507.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.083831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes49c489.8$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.811264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No53c476.24$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.616459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No51c439$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3310629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes22c436.36$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.363850%19 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7328…7f6cbacked No49c427.18$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.641346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No16c417.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes41c405$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes44c403.46$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.362951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21619255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes46c399.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.992556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No51c396.85$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.251968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Yes48c332.72$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.441070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes22c318.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.182352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed No20c308$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.690%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked Yes49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.121050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No13c301$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1583640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+81.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No42c297.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0210127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1b0…072ebacked Yes12c291.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+296.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes34c286.19$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.995825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…9a48backed Yes47c276.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No53c269.36$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4863757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c264.29$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes42c264.27$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7114028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No52c238.08$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2621355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes47c236.63$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes56c234.17$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2523762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No15c230.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0445841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes41c221.62$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No31c216$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0122859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0435…906bbacked Yes7c214.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.295127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbc…c382backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes19c210.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.135349.1%26 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3313668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3317856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes22c207.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.781353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes48c206.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4469350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes12c205.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.776225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f7d…2669backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes34c197.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4828138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.