NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf357a2d8c6d815ce7966aa439be437ed045fc024e9ba790978d09c49a65fec1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Senators, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,151,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,158,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,151,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,085 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Senators | 54c | 312,730$168,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,874.2 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 275,785$127,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,474.88 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 202,782$93,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,649.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 48c | 97,350$46,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,977.71 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Senators | 53c | 46,955$24,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,886.37 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Senators | 53c | 46,701$24,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,751.69 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 35,379$16,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,948.84 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Senators | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 52c | 27,079$14,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,150.5 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Senators | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 21,990$10,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,515.71 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 14,863$6,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,112.16 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 14,358$6,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,609.65 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Senators | 55c | 14,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 14,000$8,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Senators | 54c | 12,901$6,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,966.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 54c | 12,367$6,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.22 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 11,210$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 52c | 8,203$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.93 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 6,991$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.05 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Senators | 53c | 6,663$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Senators | 51c | 6,031$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.73 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Senators | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,732$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.94 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 0c | 5,664$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Senators | 41c | 5,575$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.94 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 5,150$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.59 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 5,071$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Senators | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Senators | 51c | 4,900$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.16 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Senators | 55c | 4,617$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 4,600$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Senators | 18c | 4,449$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.81 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,251$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.03 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,112$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.1 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Senators | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,869$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 3,769$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.84 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 3,569$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.91 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 55c | 3,520$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,387$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.21 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Senators | 53c | 2,850$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,448$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.45 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Senators | 54c | 2,387$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.06 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f821backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 2,265$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,200$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,071$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.83 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…67c8backed Senators | 52c | 2,006$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Senators | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Senators | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…4ebcbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Senators | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Senators | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,999$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.33 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,927$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.94 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Senators | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 50c | 1,711$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.6 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,606$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,600$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Senators | 56c | 1,549$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.19 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Senators | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Senators | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…2999backed Senators | 52c | 1,337$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…8c4abacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,337$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…8ad0backed Senators | 52c | 1,322$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.44 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…d9e4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,322$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.44 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…128bbacked Senators | 52c | 1,320$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…381fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,320$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…e417backed Senators | 52c | 1,314$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c89…0acebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,314$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.28 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…b925backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,309$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…1f53backed Senators | 52c | 1,309$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.68 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…f21abacked Senators | 52c | 1,298$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…aee4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,298$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,293$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.22 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…875abacked Senators | 52c | 1,292$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43b7…c468backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,292$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…b604backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,286$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…b9a6backed Senators | 52c | 1,286$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.72 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Senators | 54c | 1,272$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.06 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…2c9dbacked Senators | 52c | 1,268$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6361…06a9backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,268$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…f493backed Senators | 52c | 1,264$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.28 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc14…9a00backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,264$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.28 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…8c9abacked Senators | 52c | 1,263$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.76 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…d77fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,263$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.76 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…0363backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,247$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.44 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…7916backed Senators | 52c | 1,247$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.44 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca45…b5acbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,229$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.08 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…f00bbacked Senators | 52c | 1,229$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.08 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd86…e947backed Senators | 52c | 1,228$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…8fe7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,228$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.