CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs megoshort (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd298315b731a77d528cd92412aefe4f7e989afca0f004d5cbf79c80183d88b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof HEROIC Academy, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed megoshort | 64c | 13,117$8,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,690.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HEROIC Academy | 20c | 2,561$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.68 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed HEROIC Academy | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HEROIC Academy | 34c | 1,708$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.12 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked HEROIC Academy | 38c | 1,490$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.15 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 1,166$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.09 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed HEROIC Academy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 979.64$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.47 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 967.87$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed HEROIC Academy | 30c | 820.09$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 753.31$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.41 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked HEROIC Academy | 35c | 517.14$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 510.09$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.53 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 426.84$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -10.0wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…2d34backed HEROIC Academy | 52c | 374.69$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked megoshort | 67c | 300.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed HEROIC Academy | 36c | 285.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 279.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed HEROIC Academy | 56c | 268.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed HEROIC Academy | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…2e1fbacked HEROIC Academy | 37c | 216.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 203.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed HEROIC Academy | 34c | 194.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 192.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…0793backed HEROIC Academy | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked HEROIC Academy | 11c | 181.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed megoshort | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked HEROIC Academy | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked HEROIC Academy | 36c | 164.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…0505backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked megoshort | 61c | 133.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed megoshort | 74c | 132.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed megoshort | 66c | 124.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed HEROIC Academy | 49c | 112.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked megoshort | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed megoshort | 69c | 97.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked HEROIC Academy | 18c | 83.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed HEROIC Academy | 36c | 81.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked HEROIC Academy | 20c | 70.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked megoshort | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…605abacked HEROIC Academy | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed megoshort | 63c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 61.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked megoshort | 58c | 59.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed HEROIC Academy | 38c | 54.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…1328backed megoshort | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bd…cdd2backed megoshort | 70c | 44.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked HEROIC Academy | 37c | 43.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed megoshort | 75c | 41.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…d269backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 40.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked HEROIC Academy | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed megoshort | 63c | 29.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked HEROIC Academy | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…82c0backed HEROIC Academy | 39c | 26.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed megoshort | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked megoshort | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked megoshort | 64c | 16.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…3badbacked megoshort | 66c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs megoshort (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.