Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd10b44061a1accfc06280ec8336505b334a3496d55c4f483fde9027d09e8ba53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 9,097$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.74 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 40c | 5,485$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.16 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 35c | 3,403$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 38c | 1,628$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 779.86$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 30c | 744.83$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 39c | 688$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.32 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 598.37$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.35 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 35c | 509.61$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 59c | 506.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 391.29$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked No | 30c | 333.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Yes | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 288.64$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 30c | 266.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Yes | 57c | 248.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…c6a5backed Yes | 62c | 175.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed No | 35c | 169.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed No | 35c | 169.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 60c | 167.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 62c | 162.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 14c | 143.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed No | 30c | 133.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed No | 35c | 101.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 17c | 80.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 63c | 79.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 37c | 78.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 64c | 77.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 29c | 74.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…ffa1backed Yes | 59c | 72.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…6dd1backed Yes | 59c | 72.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 35c | 67.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked No | 30c | 66.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked No | 30c | 66.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 59c | 59.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed No | 37c | 48.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 30c | 42.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed No | 42c | 38.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…f599backed No | 34c | 35.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 36c | 34.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 35c | 33.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked No | 35c | 33.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6c…1e7fbacked No | 35c | 33.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 52c | 32.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Yes | 58c | 26.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 63c | 21.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 63c | 20.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Walsall FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Walsall FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.