TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenix

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Manchester Super Giantsof Manchester Super Giants, Birmingham Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe911…3d4ebacked Birmingham Phoenix17c12,623$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.3850247.4%238 W · 264 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Birmingham Phoenix20c8,415$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.8343441%178 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b7…6008backed Manchester Super Giants77c7,820$6,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.8133140.2%133 W · 198 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9d…3aaabacked Manchester Super Giants58c3,616$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Birmingham Phoenix42c3,316$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.488350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Birmingham Phoenix23c2,472$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.4722834.2%78 W · 150 L-17.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Manchester Super Giants78c1,825$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.1863346.3%293 W · 340 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Birmingham Phoenix21c1,474$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7214652.7%77 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Birmingham Phoenix8c1,425$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0629631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Birmingham Phoenix42c1,313$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.2564143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x037a…1202backed Manchester Super Giants78c1,310$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.817146.5%33 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c7e…f896backed Manchester Super Giants79c1,281$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.621838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x712f…568cbacked Birmingham Phoenix7c1,181$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.241216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+172.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9065…3275backed Manchester Super Giants67c1,094$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.2112759.1%75 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Manchester Super Giants58c1,035$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Birmingham Phoenix42c768.67$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.1867631.4%212 W · 464 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0389…847bbacked Manchester Super Giants67c760$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.415558.1%90 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Manchester Super Giants56c745.44$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4449247.2%232 W · 260 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Birmingham Phoenix38c683.97$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.797248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Birmingham Phoenix4c636.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6226929.4%79 W · 190 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed Birmingham Phoenix16c609$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2532337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Birmingham Phoenix42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25212343.9%54 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ae…3003backed Birmingham Phoenix23c561.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9613752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Manchester Super Giants57c552.1$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.182347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Birmingham Phoenix46c521.54$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6438544.4%171 W · 214 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe99b…d599backed Birmingham Phoenix44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020251.5%104 W · 98 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e03…3f5fbacked Birmingham Phoenix21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5db…23e0backed Birmingham Phoenix12c467.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.795529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…767dbacked Birmingham Phoenix43c444.84$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x435e…f153backed Birmingham Phoenix13c439.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-72.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Manchester Super Giants56c393.93$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3532846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Birmingham Phoenix20c384.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.868113.6%11 W · 70 L-12.7wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-56.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Birmingham Phoenix8c369.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9910420.2%21 W · 83 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Manchester Super Giants78c365.58$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5112250.8%62 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Birmingham Phoenix41c357.35$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.397548%36 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Manchester Super Giants59c355.01$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.555457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Birmingham Phoenix41c348.4$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.841540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Manchester Super Giants58c339.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4311659.5%69 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3627…09f2backed Birmingham Phoenix37c270.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7a…f252backed Manchester Super Giants55c265.45$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.453844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…c48dbacked Birmingham Phoenix19c260.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4229932.4%97 W · 202 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b2…5047backed Birmingham Phoenix39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013641.2%56 W · 80 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x079a…d3dfbacked Birmingham Phoenix45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.510763.6%68 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Manchester Super Giants66c243.66$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1441647.4%197 W · 219 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…d9f1backed Birmingham Phoenix42c236.14$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.187719.5%15 W · 62 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x787d…dec6backed Birmingham Phoenix39c226.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.41338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8417…8a39backed Birmingham Phoenix22c225$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.519427.3%53 W · 141 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d30…363cbacked Birmingham Phoenix28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510325.2%26 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed Birmingham Phoenix19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381136.2%7 W · 106 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick15cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d22…b754backed Birmingham Phoenix35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Birmingham Phoenix45c196.31$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.874242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1da3…e35bbacked Manchester Super Giants59c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Manchester Super Giants80c179$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.166758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x37b5…6a6abacked Manchester Super Giants59c164$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Birmingham Phoenix31c163.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1612739.4%50 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287d…f29ebacked Birmingham Phoenix21c151.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326729.9%20 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Manchester Super Giants70c138.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1856837%210 W · 358 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7719backed Manchester Super Giants79c124.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.675756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d4…b753backed Birmingham Phoenix36c119.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.198447.6%40 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fcc…643fbacked Birmingham Phoenix18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014537.9%55 W · 90 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf7…e497backed Birmingham Phoenix17c105.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.174119.5%8 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe858…35d3backed Birmingham Phoenix19c102.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Manchester Super Giants59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6912948.8%63 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d5e…77f0backed Birmingham Phoenix22c100.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224719.1%9 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f89…3f83backed Manchester Super Giants78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba94…c78bbacked Manchester Super Giants73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276564.6%42 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f75…3018backed Birmingham Phoenix38c99.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.999735.1%34 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a99…40d8backed Birmingham Phoenix51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011054.5%60 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9eb4…89b0backed Manchester Super Giants48c92.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.213928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd868…723dbacked Manchester Super Giants64c92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.683366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4d…066dbacked Manchester Super Giants55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9122647.3%107 W · 119 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…9f4fbacked Manchester Super Giants59c87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Birmingham Phoenix24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Manchester Super Giants79c83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.439852%51 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e6…8532backed Manchester Super Giants54c74.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.13938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Birmingham Phoenix27c72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-86.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Birmingham Phoenix42c70.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9920936.8%77 W · 132 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Manchester Super Giants58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.427054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5817…987dbacked Birmingham Phoenix50c63.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7617943.6%78 W · 101 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44bc…bdc5backed Birmingham Phoenix38c57.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-54.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0428…b167backed Birmingham Phoenix43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Birmingham Phoenix41c54.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.425848.4%125 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c79…78b1backed Birmingham Phoenix49c51.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.352347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Birmingham Phoenix43c51.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.225352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2197…d02cbacked Manchester Super Giants59c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Manchester Super Giants80c50.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.132365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee5…2a3dbacked Birmingham Phoenix41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Birmingham Phoenix42c47.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.994341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Birmingham Phoenix41c46.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.137847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x754f…725ebacked Manchester Super Giants62c40.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0ac…239fbacked Birmingham Phoenix49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Manchester Super Giants55c39.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6547061.5%289 W · 181 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b6…8ef6backed Birmingham Phoenix47c38.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.272937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Birmingham Phoenix42c37.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.654652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Manchester Super Giants56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9310247.1%48 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x583c…86c0backed Manchester Super Giants56c35.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Birmingham Phoenix42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce2…d48cbacked Birmingham Phoenix47c31.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7518745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6f…d20fbacked Birmingham Phoenix34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Manchester Super Giants70c29.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.818965.2%58 W · 31 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.